Re: The unspoken truth about wildfires
Wilson <[email protected]> Mon, 3 Aug 2026 14:10:08 -0400
| Newsgroups | alt.buddha.short.fat.guy |
|---|---|
| Organization | A noiseless patient Spider |
| Message-ID | <[email protected]> |
On 8/3/2026 12:05 PM, dart200 wrote: > On 8/3/26 8:53 AM, Wilson wrote: >> On 8/2/2026 3:30 PM, Noah Sombrero wrote: >>> On Sun, 2 Aug 2026 15:19:59 -0400, Wilson <[email protected]> >>> wrote: >>>> On 8/2/2026 1:10 PM, dart200 wrote: >>>>> On 8/2/26 9:31 AM, Noah Sombrero wrote: >>>>>> On Sun, 2 Aug 2026 12:21:43 -0400, Wilson <[email protected]> >>>>>> wrote: >>>>>> >>>>>>> I think the expectation is a warming climate will be dryer and >>>>>>> that will >>>>>>> increase wildfires. >>>>>>> >>>>>>> Satellite data only goes back to the 1980s. But there's solid >>>>>>> scientific >>>>>>> evidence based on fire scar date from tree rings on old growth >>>>>>> trees and >>>>>>> studies of sediment data that shows reconstructed wildfire >>>>>>> history over >>>>>>> thousands of years. >>>>>>> >>>>>>> That evidence indicates that during the 20th century in North >>>>>>> America >>>>>>> there's been fewer acres burned than in previous periods. They're >>>>>>> calling it a "wildfire drought". >>>>>>> >>>>>>> https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC11811286/ >>>>>>> https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.1112839109 >>>>>>> https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC3295264/ >>>>>>> https://www.researchgate.net/publication/388852965 >>>>> >>>>> (it's worth noting that's only 2 studies, 2 links each) >>>>>> >>>>>> Strange how you can come up with results that show the exact opposite >>>>>> of accepted research. >>>>>> >>>>>> Aren't awards for crappy research, crappy ideas? Unnobel? >>>>> >>>>> *sigh*, noah the research isn't crappy, what's crappy is wilson's >>>>> conclusions from it. >>>>> >>>>> a) the research is largely generalized across the continental us, >>>>> which >>>>> does not even have boreal forests, so off to great start there >>>>> >>>>> b) it's not climate change that lead to the wildfire deficit, it's >>>>> human >>>>> activity as noted in _both_ studies. being a complex system ofc >>>>> several >>>>> factors can affect wildfire rates, and human activity obviously does. >>>>> human activity has caused a deficit. which is getting "corrected" >>>>> by the >>>>> increased risk from what is still largely nominal climate change >>>>> across >>>>> most american forests. this risk is still increasing and we've only >>>>> gotten started >>>>> >>>>> c) the study that does include some of canadian boreal region, records >>>>> it as the only region burning at a higher rather than historical >>>>> trends, >>>>> 159% in fact. probably cause it's largely wilderness and far less >>>>> subject to the impact of human activity suppressing fire >>>>> >>>>> d) one of the studies literally admits extent is largely not the >>>>> problem >>>>> for most american forests, but severity is: >>>>> >>>>> | Although contemporary fire extent is not unprecedented across many >>>>> | North American forests, there is abundant evidence that >>>>> unprecedented >>>>> | contemporary fire severity is driving forest loss in many ecosystems >>>>> >>>>> it's honestly quite eye opening to see just how poor wilson's >>>>> ability in >>>>> utilizing evidence is >>>> >>>> The point is and remains, the wildfires over most of North America are >>>> cyclical and overall have not increased in recent years compared to the >>>> long term history. >>> >>> The point being that current trends no longer seem to be cyclical. >>> They seem to be more and more year after year. >> >> You're looking at your personal experience and media reports of events >> over the past 20 years and thinking that can't be part of a greater >> cycle. >> > > what _is_ even the cause of the "greater cycle" ya dingus??? lol The underlying question is, what drives the changes in Earth's climate? It's not CO2 alone.