Re: Re: new (2004-03-07) keyanalyze results

On Mon, Mar 08, 2004 at 05:05:44PM +1100, Anand Kumria wrote:
> On Mon, Mar 08, 2004 at 04:54:02AM +0000, Matthew Wilcox wrote:
> > Reachable/Strong sets continue to increase in size and MSD has its usual
> > slight decrease.
> 
> It'd be interesting to see projections on when the WoT is likely to hit
> 100,000 users. I also wonder if there is any particular reason the
> strong set growth is slowing down?
> 
> Any conjections?

As you know, my crystal ball is occasionally on the fritz.  But let's
take a stab at answering that anyway ...

Both the reachable and strong sets have pretty close to linear growth.
The strong set grows slower than the reachable set.  I'm sure someone
who was interested could figure out the linear factor and predict it --
looks like about 3 years to me.

But ... it's lumpy.  Look at the bump in April 2003 (which also caused
a bump in the MSD graph).  We could have one of those at any time ;-)

-- 
"Next the statesmen will invent cheap lies, putting the blame upon 
the nation that is attacked, and every man will be glad of those
conscience-soothing falsities, and will diligently study them, and refuse
to examine any refutations of them; and thus he will by and by convince 
himself that the war is just, and will thank God for the better sleep 
he enjoys after this process of grotesque self-deception." -- Mark Twain