Re: REST impact paper

"Stephen D. Williams" <[email protected]>
Newsgroups gmane.culture.people.rohit-khare
Message-ID <[email protected]>
Yes, it was unpredictable and many things weren't successful, whether they deserved to be or not. But successfully predicting what 
would be successful wasn't the issue.  What turned out to have successful impact?  It would be interesting to consider why and 
whether there are patterns that might be predictive.

If someone builds something to solve a problem well and to be reused, and it is reused for a long time with widespread impact, 
that's pretty successful.  I don't see why whether they foresaw the precise ways their work would be used has much to do with it. 
It's great for people who's work directly bloomed, but that's probably in the minority.

Experienced people can probably give somewhat useful odds on the likely success of things.  I can tell you right now that you 
shouldn't invest in Ruby/Rails development.  It is hard to say which databases will stay around, but there are several you really 
wouldn't want to use.  Everything has trajectory, momentum, and evidence both ways.

sdw

On 9/8/17 6:25 PM, Greg Bolcer wrote:
> Nobody can predict what will be successful.  I thought we were talking about impact?  Of course everyone thinks their contribution will change the world, but my point was those contributions get used in ways the authors hadn't anticipated.  I didn't cite specific examples as in both academia and industry they are well known mythology.
>
> Sent from my iPhone9 early access prototype
>
>> On Sep 8, 2017, at 1:46 PM, Stephen D. Williams <[email protected]> wrote:
>>
>> assign

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