[CAnet - news] The delusions of net neutrality
"Bill St. Arnaud" <[email protected]> Mon, 18 Aug 2008 12:23:50 -0400
| Newsgroups | gmane.culture.publications.news |
|---|---|
| Organization | CANARIE Inc |
| Message-ID | <[email protected]> |
This is a multipart message in MIME format. --===============0359519328== Content-Type: multipart/alternative; boundary="----=_NextPart_000_00B2_01C9012D.45531A40" Content-Language: en-us This is a multipart message in MIME format. ------=_NextPart_000_00B2_01C9012D.45531A40 Content-Type: text/plain; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit For more information on this item please visit my blog at http://green-broadband.blogspot.com/ or http://billstarnaud.blogspot.com ------------------------------------------- [Another excellent paper by the famous iconoclast Andrew Odlyzko. My only comment is that I believe that soon there will be little or no revenue opportunities in delivering video or other services over the Internet, with or without deep packet inspection. The revenue opportunities of using QoS and Deep Packet Inspection will pale against the revenue potential of the "over the top" providers such as Hulu, Google, Skype etc. So how does a carrier make a buck and pay for the infrastructure? As Andrew points out customers want connectivity much more than content. My suggestion is to bundle broadband with resale of energy, where it is in the carrier's financial interest to give away the Internet and applications and make money on connectivity- http://free-fiber-to-the-home.blogspot.com/--BSA] http://www.dtc.umn.edu/~odlyzko/doc/net.neutrality.delusions.pdf The delusions of net neutrality Andrew Odlyzko School of Mathematics, University of Minnesota Minneapolis, MN 55455, USA [email protected] http://www.dtc.umn.edu/_odlyzko Revised version, August 17, 2008 Abstract. Service providers argue that if net neutrality is not enforced, they will have sufficient incentives to build special high-quality channels that will take the Internet to the next level of its evolution. But what if they do get their wish, net neutrality is consigned to the dustbin, and they do build their new services, but nobody uses them? If the networks that are built are the ones that are publicly discussed, that is a likely prospect. What service providers publicly promise to do, if they are given complete control of their networks, is to build special facilities for streaming movies. But there are two fatal defects to that promise. One is that movies are unlikely to offer all that much revenue. The other is that delivering movies in real-time streaming mode is the wrong solution, expensive and unnecessary. If service providers are to derive significant revenues and profits by exploiting freedom from net neutrality limitations, they will need to engage in much more intrusive control of traffic than just provision of special channels for streaming movies. [.] ------------------------------------- To subscribe or unsubscribe send e-mail to [email protected] These news items and comments are mine alone and do not necessarily reflect those of the CANARIE board or management. ------=_NextPart_000_00B2_01C9012D.45531A40 Content-Type: text/html; charset="US-ASCII" Content-Transfer-Encoding: quoted-printable <html xmlns:v=3D"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:vml" = xmlns:o=3D"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" = xmlns:w=3D"urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:word" = xmlns:m=3D"http://schemas.microsoft.com/office/2004/12/omml" = xmlns=3D"http://www.w3.org/TR/REC-html40"> <head> <meta http-equiv=3DContent-Type content=3D"text/html; = charset=3Dus-ascii"> <meta name=3DGenerator content=3D"Microsoft Word 12 (filtered medium)"> <style> <!-- /* Font Definitions */ @font-face {font-family:Calibri; panose-1:2 15 5 2 2 2 4 3 2 4;} @font-face {font-family:Consolas; panose-1:2 11 6 9 2 2 4 3 2 4;} @font-face {font-family:CMBX12; panose-1:0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0;} @font-face {font-family:CMR12; panose-1:0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0;} @font-face {font-family:CMR9; panose-1:0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0;} @font-face {font-family:CMTT9; panose-1:0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0;} @font-face {font-family:CMSY9; panose-1:0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0;} /* Style Definitions */ p.MsoNormal, li.MsoNormal, div.MsoNormal {margin:0in; margin-bottom:.0001pt; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";} a:link, span.MsoHyperlink {mso-style-priority:99; color:blue; text-decoration:underline;} a:visited, span.MsoHyperlinkFollowed {mso-style-priority:99; color:purple; text-decoration:underline;} p.MsoPlainText, li.MsoPlainText, div.MsoPlainText {mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-link:"Plain Text Char"; margin:0in; margin-bottom:.0001pt; font-size:10.5pt; font-family:Consolas;} span.EmailStyle17 {mso-style-type:personal-compose; font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"; color:windowtext;} span.PlainTextChar {mso-style-name:"Plain Text Char"; mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-link:"Plain Text"; font-family:Consolas;} .MsoChpDefault {mso-style-type:export-only;} @page Section1 {size:8.5in 11.0in; margin:1.0in 1.0in 1.0in 1.0in;} div.Section1 {page:Section1;} --> </style> <!--[if gte mso 9]><xml> <o:shapedefaults v:ext=3D"edit" spidmax=3D"1026" /> </xml><![endif]--><!--[if gte mso 9]><xml> <o:shapelayout v:ext=3D"edit"> <o:idmap v:ext=3D"edit" data=3D"1" /> </o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]--> </head> <body lang=3DEN-US link=3Dblue vlink=3Dpurple> <div class=3DSection1> <p class=3DMsoPlainText>For more information on this item please visit = my blog at <o:p></o:p></p> <p class=3DMsoPlainText><a = href=3D"http://green-broadband.blogspot.com/">http://green-broadband.blog= spot.com/</a> or <a = href=3D"http://billstarnaud.blogspot.com">http://billstarnaud.blogspot.co= m</a><o:p></o:p></p> <p = class=3DMsoPlainText>-------------------------------------------<o:p></o:= p></p> <p class=3DMsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p> <p class=3DMsoPlainText>[Another excellent paper by the famous = iconoclast Andrew Odlyzko. My only comment is that I believe that soon there will be = little or no revenue opportunities in delivering video or other services over = the Internet, with or without deep packet inspection. The revenue = opportunities of using QoS and Deep Packet Inspection will pale against the revenue = potential of the “over the top” providers such as Hulu, Google, Skype = etc. So how does a carrier make a buck and pay for the infrastructure? As = Andrew points out customers want connectivity much more than content. My = suggestion is to bundle broadband with resale of energy, where it is in the = carrier’s financial interest to give away the Internet and applications and make = money on connectivity- = http://free-fiber-to-the-home.blogspot.com/--BSA]<o:p></o:p></p> <p class=3DMsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p> <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><a href=3D"http://www.dtc.umn.edu/~odlyzko/doc/net.neutrality.delusions.pdf"= >http://www.dtc.umn.edu/~odlyzko/doc/net.neutrality.delusions.pdf</a><spa= n style=3D'font-size:10.5pt;font-family:Consolas'><o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span = style=3D'font-size:10.5pt; font-family:Consolas'><o:p> </o:p></span></p> <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span = style=3D'font-size:17.0pt; font-family:CMBX12'>The delusions of net = neutrality<o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span = style=3D'font-size:12.0pt; font-family:CMR12'>Andrew Odlyzko<o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span = style=3D'font-size:9.0pt; font-family:CMR9'>School of Mathematics, University of = Minnesota<o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span = style=3D'font-size:9.0pt; font-family:CMR9'>Minneapolis, MN 55455, USA<o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span = style=3D'font-size:9.0pt; font-family:CMTT9'>[email protected]<o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span = style=3D'font-size:9.0pt; font-family:CMTT9'>http://www.dtc.umn.edu/</span><span = style=3D'font-size:9.0pt; font-family:CMSY9'>_</span><span = style=3D'font-size:9.0pt;font-family:CMTT9'>odlyzko<o:p></o:p></span></p>= <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span = style=3D'font-size:9.0pt; font-family:CMTT9'>Revised version, August 17, = 2008<o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span = style=3D'font-size:9.0pt; font-family:CMTT9'><o:p> </o:p></span></p> <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span = style=3D'font-size:12.0pt; font-family:CMBX12'>Abstract. </span><span = style=3D'font-size:12.0pt;font-family: CMR12'>Service providers argue that if net neutrality is not enforced, = they<o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span = style=3D'font-size:12.0pt; font-family:CMR12'>will have sufficient incentives to build special high-quality channels that will<o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span = style=3D'font-size:12.0pt; font-family:CMR12'>take the Internet to the next level of its evolution. = But what if they do get their<o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span = style=3D'font-size:12.0pt; font-family:CMR12'>wish, net neutrality is consigned to the dustbin, and = they do build their new<o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span = style=3D'font-size:12.0pt; font-family:CMR12'>services, but nobody uses them? If the networks that = are built are the ones that<o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span = style=3D'font-size:12.0pt; font-family:CMR12'>are publicly discussed, that is a likely = prospect.<o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span = style=3D'font-size:12.0pt; font-family:CMR12'>What service providers publicly promise to do, if = they are given complete<o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span = style=3D'font-size:12.0pt; font-family:CMR12'>control of their networks, is to build special = facilities for streaming movies. But<o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span = style=3D'font-size:12.0pt; font-family:CMR12'>there are two fatal defects to that promise. One is = that movies are unlikely to<o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span = style=3D'font-size:12.0pt; font-family:CMR12'>offer all that much revenue. The other is that = delivering movies in real-time<o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span = style=3D'font-size:12.0pt; font-family:CMR12'>streaming mode is the wrong solution, expensive and unnecessary.<o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span = style=3D'font-size:12.0pt; font-family:CMR12'>If service providers are to derive significant = revenues and profits by exploiting<o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span = style=3D'font-size:12.0pt; font-family:CMR12'>freedom from net neutrality limitations, they will = need to engage in much more<o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span = style=3D'font-size:12.0pt; font-family:CMR12'>intrusive control of traffic than just provision of = special channels for streaming<o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span = style=3D'font-size:12.0pt; font-family:CMR12'>movies.<o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span = style=3D'font-size:12.0pt; font-family:CMR12'><o:p> </o:p></span></p> <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span = style=3D'font-size:12.0pt; font-family:CMR12'>[…]<o:p></o:p></span></p> <p class=3DMsoNormal style=3D'text-autospace:none'><span = style=3D'font-size:12.0pt; font-family:CMR12'><o:p> </o:p></span></p> <p class=3DMsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p> <p class=3DMsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p> <p = class=3DMsoPlainText>-------------------------------------<o:p></o:p></p>= <p class=3DMsoPlainText>To subscribe or unsubscribe send e-mail to <a href=3D"mailto:[email protected]">[email protected]</a><o= :p></o:p></p> <p class=3DMsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p> <p class=3DMsoPlainText>These news items and comments are mine alone and = do not necessarily reflect those of the CANARIE board or = management.<o:p></o:p></p> <p class=3DMsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p> <p class=3DMsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p> </div> </body> </html> ------=_NextPart_000_00B2_01C9012D.45531A40-- --===============0359519328== Content-Type: text/plain; charset="us-ascii" MIME-Version: 1.0 Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit Content-Disposition: inline _______________________________________________ news mailing list [email protected] http://lists.canarie.ca/mailman/listinfo/news --===============0359519328==--