[CAnet - news] More on massive new investment required for Internet

For more information on this item please visit my blog at 
http://green-broadband.blogspot.com/ or http://billstarnaud.blogspot.com
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[Scott Bradner makes some important additional comments on the Nemertes
Research report in his regular column in Network World-- BSA]

Internet overload: painting tomorrow something like today
Nemertes Research report on a future clogged Internet may not tell whole
story

http://www.networkworld.com/columnists/2007/113007bradner.html


[...]
The report does not pull a Metcalfe and predict an Internet collapse. It
does, however, say that the Internet broadband-access networks will not keep
up with future demand and, thus, users will be slowed. It does not mention
that many broadband Internet subscribers are seeing slowdowns today because
of the low speed and oversubscribing of current access networks.

My second-biggest problem with the report is that it fails to take into
account the wide differences in Internet-access speed and cost across the
world. The average download speed in the United States is less than 2Mpbs
compared with more than 60Mbps in Japan. The report fails to point out that
the United States' definition of broadband is one of the slowest and most
expensive to be found in the major industrialized countries in terms of
dollars per Mbps -- more than ten times as expensive as in Japan and even
more expensive than in Portugal. It calls for spending a lot more money on
access infrastructure over the next few years, but does not hint at how it
might be paid for. Already U.S. broadband Internet service is too expensive
for a lot of people, and the Nemertes report does not factor that into its
projected growth in users and demand.  

My biggest problem with the report, however, is that its authors seem to
think that the only possible Internet-access future comes from the
traditional telecommunications carriers. It ignores (or at least I could not
find any mention of these) non-carrier solutions, such as muni or
neighborhood Wi-Fi, and mentions Google's potential entry into the
wireless-access business only in passing.

[...]


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