Re: tsunami warning system:::The US angle

"Lakshmikanth.C" <[email protected]> Fri, 31 Dec 2004 15:12:03 +0530
Newsgroups gmane.culture.region.india.general
Organization SoCrates Software India Pvt. Ltd.
Message-ID <[email protected]>
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This is another fact

Why US ?

What were these Indian buggers doing ?
Dont we have satellites ...better shut down isro

see Indian Express News....

 

*Thursday, December 30, 2004*

	


 

 

*Front Page*

	

 

	

 

 

	

 

	

 

*Govt got wind 1 hr before waves hit Chennai*

 

/Disconnect between agencies: Met runs late, guess where first alert 
mistakenly sent? Home of Murli Manohar Joshi!/

 

*SHISHIR GUPTA, SONU JAIN & AMITAV RANJAN*

 

*NEW DELHI, DECEMBER 29** At 7.50 am on Black Sunday, more than one full 
hour before the tidal waves hit the Tamil Nadu coast, the top brass of 
the Indian Air Force knew that the Car Nicobar Air Base had been 
inundated. *

But it was only 41 minutes later--during which time the waves were 
heading west--that the first communique went out from the Indian 
Meteorological Department (IMD) to the Government. And the Crisis 
Management Group, the Government's nodal emergency response unit, met at 
1 pm by when the tsunami had come, killed and gone.

And guess who got this first IMD communique? It was sent at 8.54 am to 
the residence of Murli Manohar Joshi, former Science and Technology 
Minister rather than his successor Kapil Sibal.

It's always easier to find faults with the benefit of 
hindsight--especially in an unprecedented disaster like this one--but an 
investigation of the sequence of events after the quake hit Sumatra at 
6.29 am shows a glaring disconnect between different agencies of the 
Government. And highlights how precious time--that could have been used 
to issue warnings and maybe save some lives--was lost.

Consider the sequence of events:

. ''At 7.30 am, we were informed by our Chennai unit that coordinates 
the logistics for the Car Nicobar base about a massive earthquake near 
Andamans and Nicobar,'' Air Chief S Krishnaswamy told /The Indian 
Express/ today.

''But communication links went down in the Island Territories, the 
Chennai unit could only raise Car Nicobar base on the high frequency set 
at 7.50 am ... the last message from Car Nicobar base was that the 
island is sinking and there is water all over.''

. At 8.15 am, the Air Chief says, he asked his Assistant Chief of Air 
Staff (Operations) to alert the Defence Ministry.

Now cut to the civilian establishment.

. Unaware of its fax goof-up, the IMD, as per routine, sent another fax 
to the Disaster Control Room in the Ministry of Home Affairs (MHA) at 
9.14 am.

. Eight minutes later, Cabinet Secretary B K Chaturvedi's private 
secretary was also brought into the loop.

. At 10.30, the director of the Control Room T. Swami informed Cabinet 
Secretariat officials.

. By then the tsunami had hit the Chennai coastline and another 
earthquake measuring 7.3 struck 60 miles west of Indira Point at 9.53 am.

What happened between 6.29 am and 8.56 am in the IMD is also telling: it 
shows how the country's premier met agency works in isolation during an 
unprecedented emergency.

So even as IMD stations in Chennai, Vishakhapatnam and Kolkata began 
started receiving after-shock signals within minutes of the main 
earthquake, and while the rest of the world had already issued the exact 
epicentre of the earthquake--and the Pacific warning system had sounded 
a tidal wave alert--the IMD was doing its own calculations to find out 
the magnitude and epicentre of the earthquake.

Not helping the IMD was the fact that the Andaman station in Port Blair 
runs on an old, analog system rather than a digital one. In other words, 
in the event of a large earthquake and frequent after-shocks, what it 
registered was a ''clipped seismograph'' --a blank sheet of paper 
instead of zig-zag lines.

This is exactly what happened.

''For computing the exact epicentre, we need data from three stations in 
three directions. With Andamans out of operations, it took us longer 
than expected,'' explained the duty officer.

By then, the after-shocks had begun at Andamans. The first one was at 
7:19 am of magnitude 5.9 on the richter scale. It is not clear whether 
that was enough to sound the warning bells.

''Tsunamis are never recorded in Indian history, so it did not occur to 
us,'' said R S Dattatrayam, director seismology at IMD, who arrived 
after 8.30 am to the station after being informed. ''I don't recall the 
exact sequence of events.''

	

 

	

 

 

 

 

URL: http://www.indianexpress.com/full_story.php?content_id=61766



© 2004: Indian Express Newspapers (Bombay) Ltd. All rights reserved 
throughout the world.




>
>
> Yamanoor Srihari wrote:
>
>>     Friends,
>>
>>     I disagree with the whole theory. If a country has the gall to
>>     spend money on nuclear bombs rather than its peoples' safety, it
>>     cannot blame others for its mishaps. I don't see how the agency
>>     could have warned about the tsunami without a system in place.
>>
>>     We should not try to cover up, or help cover up or immoral lack
>>     of concern for infrastructure. This tsunami has been a humbling
>>     lesson for us, lets not miss the point.
>>
>>     Srihari
>>
>>
>>
>> Help with the Tsunami Relief
>>
>> http://www.yamanoor.com <http://www.yamanoor.com/>
>>
>> http://groups.yahoo.com/group/tsunami-relief/
>>
>>
>
>
> ------------------------------------------------------------------------
> **



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This is another fact<br>
<br>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-left: 0.5in;"><span
 style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">Why US ?</span> <br>
<br>
<span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">What were these
Indian buggers
doing ?</span> <br>
<span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">Dont we have
satellites
...better shut down isro</span> <br>
<br>
<span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">see Indian Express
News....</span> <o:p></o:p></p>
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            <p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size: 10pt;">Thursday,
December 30, 2004</span></b> <o:p></o:p></p>
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      <td colspan="3" style="padding: 0.75pt;" valign="top">
      <p class="MsoNormal"><b><span
 style="font-size: 24pt; font-family: Georgia;">Govt got wind 1 hr
before waves hit Chennai</span></b> <o:p></o:p></p>
      </td>
    </tr>
    <tr style="">
      <td colspan="3" style="padding: 0.75pt;">
      <p class="MsoNormal">&nbsp; <o:p></o:p></p>
      </td>
    </tr>
    <tr style="">
      <td colspan="3" style="padding: 0.75pt;">
      <p class="MsoNormal"><i><span style="font-size: 10pt;">Disconnect
between agencies: Met runs late, guess where first alert mistakenly
sent? Home of Murli Manohar Joshi!</span></i> <o:p></o:p></p>
      </td>
    </tr>
    <tr style="">
      <td colspan="3" style="padding: 0.75pt;">
      <p class="MsoNormal">&nbsp; <o:p></o:p></p>
      </td>
    </tr>
    <tr style="">
      <td colspan="3" style="padding: 0.75pt;">
      <p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size: 10pt;">SHISHIR
GUPTA, SONU JAIN &amp; AMITAV RANJAN</span></b> <o:p></o:p></p>
      </td>
    </tr>
    <tr style="">
      <td colspan="3" style="padding: 0.75pt;">
      <p class="MsoNormal">&nbsp; <o:p></o:p></p>
      </td>
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    <tr style="">
      <td style="padding: 0.75pt;">
      <p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size: 10pt;">NEW DELHI,
DECEMBER 29</span></b><b><span
 style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Georgia;"> At 7.50 am on Black
Sunday, more than one full hour before the tidal waves hit the Tamil
Nadu coast, the top brass of the Indian Air Force knew that the Car
Nicobar Air Base had been inundated. </span></b><o:p></o:p></p>
      <p><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">But it was
only 41 minutes later&#8212;during which time the waves were heading
west&#8212;that the first communique went out from the Indian Meteorological
Department (IMD) to the Government. And the Crisis Management Group,
the Government&#8217;s nodal emergency response unit, met at 1 pm by when the
tsunami had come, killed and gone. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
      <p><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">And guess
who got this first IMD communique? It was sent at 8.54 am to the
residence of Murli Manohar Joshi, former Science and Technology
Minister rather than his successor Kapil Sibal. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
      <p><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">It&#8217;s always
easier to find faults with the benefit of hindsight&#8212;especially in an
unprecedented disaster like this one&#8212;but an investigation of the
sequence of events after the quake hit Sumatra at 6.29 am shows a
glaring disconnect between different agencies of the Government. And
highlights how precious time&#8212;that could have been used to issue
warnings and maybe save some lives&#8212;was lost. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
      <p><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">Consider
the sequence of events: </span><o:p></o:p></p>
      <p><span
 style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial; color: rgb(204, 0, 0);">&#8226;</span><span
 style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;"> &#8216;&#8216;At 7.30 am, we were
informed by our Chennai unit that coordinates the logistics for the Car
Nicobar base about a massive earthquake near Andamans and Nicobar,&#8217;&#8217;
Air Chief S Krishnaswamy told <i>The Indian Express</i> today. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
      <p><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">&#8216;&#8216;But
communication links went down in the Island Territories, the Chennai
unit could only raise Car Nicobar base on the high frequency set at
7.50 am ... the last message from Car Nicobar base was that the island
is sinking and there is water all over.&#8217;&#8217; </span><o:p></o:p></p>
      <p><span
 style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial; color: rgb(204, 0, 0);">&#8226;</span><span
 style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;"> At 8.15 am, the Air
Chief says, he asked his Assistant Chief of Air Staff (Operations) to
alert the Defence Ministry. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
      <p><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">Now cut to
the civilian establishment. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
      <p><span
 style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial; color: rgb(204, 0, 0);">&#8226;</span><span
 style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;"> Unaware of its fax
goof-up, the IMD, as per routine, sent another fax to the Disaster
Control Room in the Ministry of Home Affairs (MHA) at 9.14 am. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
      <p><span
 style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial; color: rgb(204, 0, 0);">&#8226;</span><span
 style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;"> Eight minutes later,
Cabinet Secretary B K Chaturvedi&#8217;s private secretary was also brought
into the loop. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
      <p><span
 style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial; color: rgb(204, 0, 0);">&#8226;</span><span
 style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;"> At 10.30, the director
of the Control Room T. Swami informed Cabinet Secretariat officials. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
      <p><span
 style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial; color: rgb(204, 0, 0);">&#8226;</span><span
 style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;"> By then the tsunami had
hit the Chennai coastline and another earthquake measuring 7.3 struck
60 miles west of Indira Point at 9.53 am. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
      <p><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">What
happened between 6.29 am and 8.56 am in the IMD is also telling: it
shows how the country&#8217;s premier met agency works in isolation during an
unprecedented emergency. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
      <p><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">So even as
IMD stations in Chennai, Vishakhapatnam and Kolkata began started
receiving after-shock signals within minutes of the main earthquake,
and while the rest of the world had already issued the exact epicentre
of the earthquake&#8212;and the Pacific warning system had sounded a tidal
wave alert&#8212;the IMD was doing its own calculations to find out the
magnitude and epicentre of the earthquake. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
      <p><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">Not helping
the IMD was the fact that the Andaman station in Port Blair runs on an
old, analog system rather than a digital one. In other words, in the
event of a large earthquake and frequent after-shocks, what it
registered was a &#8216;&#8216;clipped seismograph&#8217;&#8217; &#8212;a blank sheet of paper
instead of zig-zag lines. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
      <p><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">This is
exactly what happened. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
      <p><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">&#8216;&#8216;For
computing the exact epicentre, we need data from three stations in
three directions. With Andamans out of operations, it took us longer
than expected,&#8217;&#8217; explained the duty officer. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
      <p><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">By then,
the after-shocks had begun at Andamans. The first one was at 7:19 am of
magnitude 5.9 on the richter scale. It is not clear whether that was
enough to sound the warning bells. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
      <p><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-family: Arial;">&#8216;&#8216;Tsunamis
are never recorded in Indian history, so it did not occur to us,&#8217;&#8217; said
R S Dattatrayam, director seismology at IMD, who arrived after 8.30 am
to the station after being informed. &#8216;&#8216;I don&#8217;t recall the exact
sequence of events.&#8217;&#8217;</span> <o:p></o:p></p>
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      <p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size: 10pt;">URL:
<a class="moz-txt-link-freetext" href="http://www.indianexpress.com/full_story.php?content_id=61766">http://www.indianexpress.com/full_story.php?content_id=61766</a></span> <o:p></o:p></p>
      <p><br>
      <span style="font-size: 7.5pt;"><br>
&copy; 2004: Indian Express Newspapers (Bombay) Ltd. All rights reserved
throughout the world. </span><o:p></o:p></p>
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<br>
<br>
<br>
<blockquote cite="[email protected]" type="cite"><br>
  <br>
Yamanoor Srihari wrote:
  <blockquote
 cite="mid20041230170524.54694.qmail-zAb78M5kvM2A/[email protected]"
 type="cite">
    <div>
    <blockquote class="replbq"
 style="border-left: 2px solid rgb(16, 16, 255); padding-left: 5px; margin-left: 5px;">
      <p>Friends, </p>
      <p>I disagree with the whole theory. If a country has the gall to
spend money on nuclear bombs rather than its peoples' safety, it cannot
blame others for its mishaps. I don't see how the agency could have
warned about the tsunami without a system in place.</p>
      <p>We should not try to cover up, or help cover up or immoral
lack
of concern for infrastructure. This tsunami has been a humbling lesson
for us, lets not miss the point.</p>
      <p>Srihari</p>
    </blockquote>
    </div>
    <br>
    <br>
    <div>
    <div>
    <div>
    <div>
    <div>
    <div><font color="darkblue">
    <p align="left">Help with the Tsunami Relief</p>
    </font></div>
    <div><font color="darkblue">
    <p align="left"><a href="http://www.yamanoor.com/">http://www.yamanoor.com</a></p>
    <p align="left"><a
 href="http://groups.yahoo.com/group/tsunami-relief/">http://groups.yahoo.com/group/tsunami-relief/</a></p>
    </font></div>
    </div>
    </div>
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