One Fish, Two Fish, Oil Fish, Goo Fish

We're now almost 2 months into this disaster. I was wondering what folks  
are currently thinking about this event. I'm especially curious whether Dan  
M still thinks this is a black swan event or something more mundane. Is BP  
really that unlucky in that everything they tried didn't work? Or were they  
incompetent or just not trying hard enough? I really hope BP can't declare  
bankruptcy to get out of paying the bills for this thing.

On a personal level (and not nearly on the same scale as the folks in the  
Gulf area), my extended family is scheduled to hold a reunion on the beach  
at Destin, Florida. We are anxiously watching to see if we are going to be  
oiled out. It's a pain, especially as I've been looking forward to this  
vacation for *months*. But again, not nearly as bad as the people (and  
animals) who's lives have been ruined by the oil spill.

- jmh