Here's an interesting finish shaping up!

"naboimp" <[email protected]> Wed, 21 Jan 2004 21:52:35 -0000
Newsgroups gmane.games.diplomacy.worldmasters.chat.wm2002
Message-ID <[email protected]>
Game 201 has just completed its Spring 1909 season, and the position 
is very interesting.  Currently, Italy and Russia are tied for 
second with 9 centers apiece - the current leaderboard shows Italy 
just making the cut and Russia not doing so.  England on 16 centers 
can force Munich for 17.  It will be interesting to see whether 
Italy prevents the English solo by securing Tunis or allows it 
knowing that Russia well could put him out of the tournament if he 
so chooses.  I think this would actually qualify as a prisoner's 
dilemma were Munich not a forced win and Russia on the right side of 
the cutoff.  Russia's choice is to attempt second place with the 
possibility Italy throws the game or accept third place and still 
risk Italy throws the game - not a great option, and clearly the 
incentive is to attempt second place.  Italy's choice is to hold off 
England while Russia may or may not push him to third or to throw 
the game and doom both himself and Russia.  Given Russia's 
incentive, this is a pick your poison type of choice.  Nevertheless, 
Italy can only advance by holding off England and hoping Russia 
foregoes his advantage for irrational reasons (like honor, 
friendship, etc.)  Looks to be a nail biter.