Re: Status after end of Game 224

"naboimp" <[email protected]> Wed, 04 Feb 2004 00:29:01 -0000
Newsgroups gmane.games.diplomacy.worldmasters.chat.wm2002
Message-ID <[email protected]>
Well 210 just ended with the Rider in second place so that should 
wrap things up, or does it?

The key is still Game 218 (assuming the Stepsons get eliminated in 6 
and 28 which is far from certain).  That would leave the Stepsons 
ahead 403.00 to 402.33, pending the outcome of 218.  Now, I've said 
I expect England not to settle for a three way tie for 1st, but a 
two way tie would still work for him, and if it is with the Rider, 
that's a gain in points that would slip the Riders past the 
Stepsons.  I admit that's a pretty iffy scenario, but it is 
possible, especially if the S-F player cooperates now that his team 
is out of the running.  (Not likely, considering that player is 
still fighting for a semi-final spot.)

In other words, the Stepsons are almost certain to win now, but 
there's still a small chance they could lose.

--- In [email protected], "Ray Setzer" <mczet@c...> wrote:
> Actually, the chance is now really whether Riders can catch the 
Stepsons. S-F 
> won't get a top on 6 as the Italians want to advance and will only 
lose the top 
> if they willingly give it away. If the Stepsons were eliminted on 
boards 28 and 
> 6 they would lose 12 points, taking them to 403. Even topping one 
of their two 
> boards would not give S-F enough to catch.
> 
> The real nailbiter then is board 10. If Turkey dragged his carcas 
into a tie 
> for 1st he'd pick up 12 points, up to 408 for the Riders. So, what 
Stepsons 
> need to do is hang onto something on 6. If so, then 28 is cushion.


 

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