Re: [Scalzi] Oscar predictions 2011

On Fri, 28 Jan 2011, Peter T. Chattaway wrote:

>> http://whatever.scalzi.com/2011/01/26/oscar-predictions-2011/
>
>>> *What will win: *At this point, I’m thinking *The King’s Speech 
>>> *is going to pull a *Shakespeare in Love *on us.
>
>>> Also, since I think the Academy is likely to play it safe with Best 
>>> Picture this year, I think giving Fincher the director Oscar will make 
>>> the voters feel they’ve given his film sufficient recognition. In 
>>> the *Shakespeare in Love*scenario, Fincher is Steven Spielberg. And 
>>> that doesn’t suck.
>
> Yeah, this is the vibe I've been picking up from a few people.

Well, you can forget all about *that*, now.  The Directors Guild of 
America just gave *its* award to Tom Hooper, director of The King's Speech 
-- and the DGA has disagreed with the Oscars only six times since the DGA 
was invented in 1948:

    1968 -- DGA: Anthony Harvey, The Lion in Winter; Oscar: Carol Reed, 
Oliver!
    1972 -- DGA: Francis Ford Coppola, The Godfather; Oscar: Bob Fosse, 
Cabaret
    1985 -- DGA: Steven Spielberg, The Color Purple; Oscar: Sydney Pollack, 
Out of Africa
    1995 -- DGA: Ron Howard, Apollo 13; Oscar: Mel Gibson, Braveheart
    2000 -- DGA: Ang Lee, Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon; Oscar: Steven 
Soderbergh
    2002 -- DGA: Rob Marshall, Chicago; Oscar: Roman Polanski, The Pianist

FWIW, the Oscar for Best Picture went to the Oscar winner for Best 
Director in 1968, 1985 and 1995; but the Oscar for Best Picture went to 
the DGA winner in 1972 and 2002.  And then there is 2000, where the DGA 
went to Crouching Tiger Hidden Dragon (which won the Oscar for Best 
Foreign Language Film, but *not* the Oscar for Best Picture), and the 
Oscar for Best Director went to Steven Soderbergh for Traffic, and the 
Oscar for Best Picture went to an entirely different film, Gladiator.

Also worth noting is that the DGA winners in 1985 and 1995 weren't even 
*nominated* for the Oscar for Best Director in those years; in both cases, 
the directors in question went on to win *both* prizes for subsequent 
films (Spielberg winning for Schindler's List in 1993 and Saving Private 
Ryan in 1998, and Howard winning for A Beautiful Mind in 2001).

Come to that, Francis Ford Coppola -- the DGA winner in 1972 -- *also* 
went on to win the Oscar for a subsequent film, i.e. The Godfather Part II 
in 1974.  And Ang Lee -- the DGA winner in 2000 -- went on to win the 
Oscar for a subsequent film, i.e. Brokeback Mountain in 2005.

The DGA winners in 1968 and 2002 would therefore seem to be the only DGA 
winners who have *never* won an Oscar.  So far, at any rate.

-- 
dadl-ot mailing list
http://mail.thehood.us/mailman/listinfo/dadl-ot_thehood.us
http://news.gmane.org/gmane.music.dadl.ot