[rad-green] Brazil Oil Spill is a Warning for Canada

*https://theenergymix.com/2019/11/11/exclusive-brazil-crude-oil-calamity-spells-warning-for-canada/
<https://theenergymix.com/2019/11/11/exclusive-brazil-crude-oil-calamity-spells-warning-for-canada/>*

*The Energy Mix          November 11, 2019 *


*Brazil Oil Spill is a Warning for Canada*

PRIMARY AUTHOR *PAUL MCKAY*

Eight weeks ago, the famed white sand beaches of northeast Brazil began
blackening as globs of toxic oil suddenly appeared to coat or contaminate
crustaceans, fish, sea turtles, birds, rocks, and shallow mangrove
nurseries sheltering all manner of marine life.

The oil came by stealth—lurking below the Atlantic waves so that neither
humans nor satellites detected a plume. By the time the oil was spotted, a
month after the original spill or leak, it was virtually impossible to
contain with floating booms. First a few beaches were hit. Then a dozen.
Then dozens more, then hundreds.
At last count, almost 300 beaches
<https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/nov/01/brazil-blames-oil-spill-greek-flagged-tanker-venezuelan-crude>
 and a Brazilian coastline 2,500 kilometres long have been defiled. Damage
estimates are in the billions. Tourism has been hit hard, along with
commercial fisheries and community shellfish harvesting. A key marine
sanctuary
<https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2019/11/mysterious-oil-spill-threatens-marine-biodiversity-haven-brazil>
 protecting corals and humpback whales was caught in the crude’s path.

It is by far the worst oil spill in Brazil’s history, and may have put in
jeopardy the country’s own plans to develop gigantic offshore projects. The
military belatedly dispatched troops to help with beach clean-ups, to
little avail. Federal prosecutors were enlisted to find the cause, nail
those responsible, and seek restitution.

No crippled or sunken ship has been found. The hit-and-run oil tanker left
the scene months ago. The owner of one Greek-flagged ship identified by
Brazil prosecutors as a prime suspect
<https://www.wsj.com/articles/brazil-focuses-search-for-origin-of-mystery-oil-spill-11573071422>
has
flatly denied all responsibility. Four others are under suspicion, but the
more investigators search, the more the tragedy morphs into a murky montage
worthy of a political espionage novel.

But one fact is certain: Three different Brazil labs have examined the
molecular DNA of the oil globs and concluded they comprise Venezuelan *tar
sands/oil sands* crude and a diluent to allow the molasses-like substance
to be pumped through pipelines and into oil tankers. This is consistent
<https://theenergymix.com/2015/12/16/dilbit-is-not-like-oil-needs-different-spill-response-u-s-study/>
with
the lack of surface oil slicks
<https://www.reuters.com/article/us-brazil-environment-oil-explainer/explainer-the-mysterious-oil-washing-up-on-brazilian-shores-idUSKBN1X421J>
off
the Brazil coast, the presence of high amounts of sulphur and vanadium, and
toxic reactions volunteer beach cleaning crews have suffered.

   - Photo: Paul McKay

If this tragic picture from faraway Brazil triggers a foreboding chill for
those living in the Salish Sea marine gateway shared by southern coastal
British Columbia and Washington State, it should.

Because each year, for the next 50 years, the expanded Trans Mountain
pipeline from the Alberta tar sands/oil sands to a marine terminal in
Burnaby is slated to pump some 215 million barrels
<https://www.coastprotectors.ca/trans_mountain_climate_cost> of chemically
similar “dilbit
<https://theenergymix.com/2018/02/21/nrcan-scientist-contradicts-past-research-claims-dilbit-can-float/>”
into Asia-bound oil tankers. That would cumulatively total *one billion*
*barrels* passing under Vancouver’s Lion’s Gate Bridge, then to the Pacific
via the Strait of Juan de Fuca.

Now consider this: the known damage to Brazil’s 2,500-kilometre coastline
has been caused by only 28,000 barrels (4,000 tonnes) of fugitive Venezuela
heavy crude.

**********

“Ghost ships” turning off transponders to avoid satellite surveillance.
Reckless mid-ocean tanker-to-tanker oil transfers. Docking for a few hours
to obtain bogus shipping certificates. State oil companies selling oil at
rock-bottom prices. Other state players extorting cut-rate oil to recoup
billion-dollar debts. Oil tankers flying flags of convenience to evade
spill liabilities. Oil traders trafficking in oil covered by trade
sanctions. Ship captains and crews failing to report serious spills or
leaks as required by international law.

These tactics are a pernicious, growing presence
<https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/iran-oil-sanctions-1.4868531> in global
oil shipping as countries like Venezuela, Iran, India, China, Russia, North
Korea, and Syria adopt covert measures to sell or buy oil using “ghost
ships” designed to go dark. Some, perhaps all, were factors in Brazil’s
ongoing oil spill tragedy.

For starters, the captain and crew of whatever oil tanker was responsible
left without alerting any Brazil authorities. It took a month for the
Venezuelan heavy crude to reach the beaches, so even an anonymous warning
could have advanced protective measures. Such brazen negligence amounts to
criminality under marine law.

Secondly, the relatively small volume of escaped oil (less than 1% of a
fully-loaded Suezmax tanker <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Suezmax>)
indicates there was an unintended leak that was capped, or that an
attempted mid-ocean transfer to another ship went awry. This may have been
attempted because Venezuela oil exports face stiff U.S.-led global
sanctions, and ship-to-ship transfers can hide the origin and destination
of a “hot” cargo. Similar oil tanker subterfuges are routinely used by Iran
to evade sanctions and detection, and by China to supply North Korea.

Venezuela has an obvious motive for risking such tactics—oil is its only
export capable of either earning hard currency or paying down crippling
state debts. Formerly formidable oil sales to U.S. refineries have dwindled
to a trickle, and the Trump administration has vowed to punish other
countries which accept shipments from Venezuela’s gigantic deposits of both
high-grade reserves and inferior-quality tar sands/oil sands.

As the sanctions bite deeper and deeper, the misery index of most
Venezuelans has climbed, the Maduro regime has teetered, and oil production
has dropped
<https://www.argusmedia.com/en/news/1900583-pdv-halts-upgrading-plots-shift-to-blending>
like
a stone due to the lack of money, refinery parts, and skilled technicians.
Countries like China, Russia, and India have lent billions to revive oil
production there in exchange for joint ownership stakes and pledges of
quality oil. But this has proven futile. As a last, desperate tactic,
Venezuela’s state oil company recently configured the sector to maximize
low-grade tar sands/oil sands
<https://www.petroleum-economist.com/articles/politics-economics/south-central-america/2019/china-spurns-venezuelan-exports>
output
and sell it in an unrefined form at a price which can undercut global
competitors.

But oil traders or countries which do so risk being caught by Washington,
then punished or barred from trading commodities in the United States. For
China and Russia, which could lose the billions they’ve ploughed into
Venezuela, recouping whatever they can from oil shipments will limit their
losses.

So they use “cut-outs” to charter oil tankers that get pumped full of
dirt-cheap or loan-offsetting Venezuelan tar sands/oil sands crude, then
make the cargos vanish by changing bills of lading or transferring the oil
to other “ghost ships” at sea. Then the oil arrives with false
certification at a specified port with nearby refineries designed to
process the crudest of all crude. Because it comes cheap, that gives those
refiners a competitive edge.

Based on search warrants, Interpol filings, and formal requests to specific
shipping companies, Brazilian prosecutors believe
<https://www.reuters.com/article/us-brazil-oil-spill/brazil-police-target-greek-ship-in-probe-of-oil-tarring-beaches-idUSKBN1XB47T>
this
subterfuge was in play preceding the oil spill. The molecular signature
proves the crude is from Venezuelan tar sands/oil sands, and was blended
with some higher-quality oil to produce the Merey 16 blend. That ended up
on coastal beaches as crumbly black sludge and pools of stiff tar. Their
reported prime suspect is a Greek-flagged Suezmax tanker called the
*Bouboulina*.

Manifests and satellite tracking records
<https://www.bbc.com/portuguese/brasil-50270037> show that ship left
Venezuela’s main oil port with an estimated one million barrels in July,
made a puzzling stop in Trinidad and Tobago for only a few hours, then
chugged down the coast of South America near northeast Brazil en route to
Malaysia. There, a ship-to-ship oil transfer was apparently made, with
transponder signals silent.

Though last week Brazil’s President Jair Bolsonaro
<https://www.mcall.com/sns-bc-lt--brazil-oil-spill-20191104-story.html>
publicly
vilified the *Bouboulina*, the owner of the Greek tanker has stoutly denied
any spill, leak, or wrongdoing
<https://www.reuters.com/article/us-brazil-oil-spill-delta/no-proof-greek-vessel-activity-led-to-oil-leak-off-brazil-coast-ship-manager-idUSKBN1XC0CR>.
It has offered to provide Brazil authorities with ostensibly exculpatory
evidence such as tanker camera footage and sensor data. Currently, there is
no hard evidence implicating the *Bouboulina*, or four other Greek-flagged
oil tankers under suspicion.

But the growing global use of “ghost ships” to deliver clandestine crude is
a warning of the extreme extent to which some oil fleet owners are driven
by money and mercenary motives. In this case, the captain and crew of a
mystery oil tanker departed Venezuela, fled the spill scene silently, and
left ecological havoc along 2,500 kilometres of Brazil coastline.

We may never know who they were, and the oil tanker involved may very well
be on another “ghost ship” charter by now.

******

Oil engineers and geology experts know that every blend of crude has a
unique chemical signature based on such variables as specific gravity
(density), viscosity, sulphur content, percentage of hydrogen, or presence
of heavy metals such as nickel or vanadium.

Despite being continents apart, Alberta and Venezuela tar sands/oil sands
blends are essentially twins
<http://scitechconnect.elsevier.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/main-20.pdf>,
though not identical ones. (Similar sour, heavy oils are produced in
Mexico, Colombia, and the Persian Gulf.) Both are bituminous
<https://www.hydrocarbons-technology.com/projects/hamaca/>, though the
Venezuelan crude has a higher ratio of extra heavy oil.

These common properties
<https://ihsmarkit.com/research-analysis/venezuela-production-decline.html>
allow
oil refineries designed to process the heaviest crude in specializing
“coking” units
<https://www.eia.gov/beta/international/analysis_includes/countries_long/Venezuela/background.htm>
to
switch suppliers based on price, availability, or geopolitics. For example,
Alberta diluted bitumen has replaced some Venezuelan tar sands/oil sands
crude formerly sold to U.S. Gulf Coast refineries.

But these shared attributes also pose a greater ecological threat than
conventional oil, because tar sands/oil sands crude sinks in seawater, has
higher toxicity, and coagulates much like tar. The Brazil oil spill is
proof of how dangerous a fugitive plume of Venezuela tar sands/oil sands
crude can be. A 2010 pipeline rupture
<https://insideclimatenews.org/news/03052018/enbridge-fined-tar-sands-oil-pipeline-inspections-kalamazoo-michigan-dilbit-spill>
that
spilled Canadian tar sands/oil sands dilbit into a river tributary near
Kalamazoo, Michigan proved it is equally dangerous, difficult, and costly
to clean up.

So the safety margin for oil tanker leaks, accidents, negligence,
malfeasance, or ordinary incompetence when carrying any tar sands/oil sands
crude is virtually zero. Those long odds reach the vanishing point with the
pending shipment of one billion barrels of diluted bitumen through the
Salish Sea and across the Pacific during the next five decades.

   -
   - Photo: Paul Mckay

That shipping volume and time frame mean another Brazil tragedy could
certainly occur somewhere en route. It could happen in Vancouver harbour,
or 200 kilometres into the Pacific, or near the coast of an Asian customer.
The offending oil tanker might not be identified. It might take a month or
more before the danger is even discovered. A serious accident, spill, or
leak may prove impossible to clean up. The costs may be incalculable.

That may seem wildly speculative—except that this just happened 700
kilometres from the Brazil coast.

One original, glaring failure of the federal project review process which
endorsed the Trans Mountain pipeline expansion was the lack of due
diligence on oil tanker safety, clean-up capability, and the impact on
marine species in the Salish Sea in case of accidents. In 2018, the Federal
Court of Appeal ordered
<https://vancouversun.com/news/local-news/federal-court-of-appeal-quashes-approval-of-9-3-billion-trans-mountain-oil-pipeline-expansion>
that
final TMX approval be suspended until credible solutions are identified.

But the Brazil tragedy shows that humans are *the* wild card when it comes
to shipping a million barrels or more of dangerous tar sands/oil sands
crude in a single cargo. The highest levels of ship maintenance, piloting,
crew training, and integrity are obligatory. There can be zero negligence,
recklessness, incompetence, or commercial avarice undercutting safety.

No corners can be cut. Oil tankers can’t sail with corroded hulls. Drunk
captains cannot take the helm. Marine depth charts can’t be misread. Key
valves can’t be mistakenly left open. Panic and fatal errors of judgement
can never occur.

Yet all these have happened in previous maritime accidents, from the *Exxon
Valdez*
<https://www.theatlantic.com/photo/2014/03/remembering-the-exxon-valdez-oil-spill/100703/>,
to the *Costa Concordia*
<https://www.britannica.com/event/Costa-Concordia-disaster> passenger ship
tragically capsizing in Italy, to the rust-bucket oil tanker MV *Erika*
<https://www.corporateknights.com/channels/leadership/total-desperation-13946148/>
breaking
up in an Atlantic storm in 1999. It contaminated 400 kilometres of French
coastline with 20,000 tonnes of escaped crude, and sabotaged regional
fisheries.

In the end, global ship owners and oil tanker crews have only their
conscience to weigh against the spectre of huge liability damages and
imprisonment stemming from accidental leaks or spills. If this involves
sunken and slowly dispersing dilbit, that confers a unique time window to
escape detection and *not* report what could be financially and
ecologically ruinous.

Perversely, the innate properties of any tar sands/oil sands crude spilled
into the ocean means it comes with a kind of “get-out-of-jail free” card.
Exactly that kind of impunity underpinned the tragedy still unfolding in
northeast Brazil. It could happen again anywhere, anytime.

Those living in the Salish Sea region can calculate the number of ocean
tanker trips and different ships and crews it will take to deliver one
billion barrels of bitumen from Burnaby to Asia. Then the danger calculus
can be multiplied by the nautical miles for each Asia-bound shipment, and
the cumulative sailing time it will take to make all those deliveries.

The chemical composition of TMX dilbit will require nothing less than
perfect oil tanker performance, and perfect human conduct, for all of the
next half-century. Given the oil volumes, trips, distances, and sailing
times involved, proceeding any further will not just tempt fate. It will be
giving it the middle finger.

*Paul McKay is an award-winning investigative reporter and author. His
reports have appeared in the Ottawa Citizen, Globe and Mail, Toronto Star,
and Vancouver Sun. He owns a Chevrolet Volt, which he charges with his home
solar array.*

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