[rad-green] Latest Poll Shows Sanders With 'Commanding Lead' as Democratic Hopefuls Head to New Hampshire

"Sid Shniad" (via rad-green Mailing List) <[email protected]> Tue, 4 Feb 2020 15:34:57 -0800
Newsgroups gmane.politics.communism.environmental
Message-ID <CACKppcy_O669SgGkQ_CBVODe0aX++ECw0DmSgq9m5=0ZMRkXdg@mail.gmail.com>
*https://www.commondreams.org/news/2020/02/04/latest-poll-shows-sanders-commanding-lead-democratic-hopefuls-head-new-hampshire
<https://www.commondreams.org/news/2020/02/04/latest-poll-shows-sanders-commanding-lead-democratic-hopefuls-head-new-hampshire>Common
Dreams           February 4, 2020Latest Poll Shows Sanders With 'Commanding
Lead' as Democratic Hopefuls Head to New HampshireAt 32%, Bernie Sanders
has more voter support than the next two candidates—Elizabeth Warren and
Joe Biden—combined.by Jessica Corbett, staff writer*

[image: Supporters of Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Bernie Sanders
(I-Vt.)]

*Supporters of Democratic presidential candidate Sen. Bernie Sanders
(I-Vt.), hold up signs during his event at Nashua Community College on Dec.
13, 2019 in Nashua, New Hampshire. (Photo: Scott Eisen/Getty Images)*

While the world awaited delayed results from Monday night's Democratic
Party caucuses in Iowa, 2020 presidential candidates on Tuesday headed to
New Hampshire, where new polling shows that Sen. Bernie Sanders has "a
commanding lead."

The 7 News/Emerson College Polling survey of New Hampshire Democratic
voters from Monday night showed Sanders (I-Vt.) at 32% support, followed by
Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and former Vice President Joe Biden at 13%,
and Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.) and former South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete
Buttigieg at 12%.

NH @7News <https://twitter.com/7News?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw> / Emerson College
Tracking Poll Night 2:

Sanders 32%
Warren 13%
Biden 13%
Klobuchar 12%
Buttigieg 12%https://t.co/yQzu3k4lle pic.twitter.com/BTT27AmDGL
<https://t.co/BTT27AmDGL>

— Emerson College Polling (@EmersonPolling) February 4, 2020
<https://twitter.com/EmersonPolling/status/1224543430992375808?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw>

The survey—the second of a continuous eight day tracking poll leading up to
next week's vote—has a margin of error of +/- 4.3%. As a statement explained
<https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/new-hampshire-2020-tracking-poll-night-2-sanders-lead-extends-further>
Monday
night, the latest results represent "a shift" from Sunday, "as Sanders
gained three points, Biden and Buttigieg lost one point, Warren gained one
point, and Klobuchar gained four points."

A majority (54%) of those polled said the most important factor in
selecting a candidate for the Democratic nomination is their chance of
beating President Donald Trump in November. By contrast, 46% intend to
select a candidate who closely aligns with their views.

The poll has shown a "trend" of Sanders doing well with younger voters in
New Hampshire. Among those under 50, Sanders has 40% support compared with
Warren at 15%, Klobuchar at 10%, Buttigieg at 9%, and Biden at just 7%.
However, Sanders also does well with the over-50 crowd; he leads the field
at 23%, followed by Biden at 18%, Buttigieg and Klobuchar at 15%, and
Warren at 11%.
[image: NH Poll age]

A victory in New Hampshire would build on Sanders' performance in Iowa. In
the absence of official results—some of which the state's Democratic Party
is set to make public by 5 pm ET—the Sanders campaign on Tuesday morning
released
<https://www.commondreams.org/news/2020/02/04/amid-iowa-results-debacle-sanders-campaign-signals-victory-releasing-portion-its>
a
portion of its internal figures, which suggest the senator likely won the
Midwestern state.

"The majority (87%) of New Hampshire Primary voters say the events of
Monday's Iowa Caucus will not have an impact on their vote, while 13% say
the results of the Caucus will impact who they vote for," according to the
statement from 7 News/Emerson College Polling.

New Hampshire's primary on Feb. 11 will be the nation's second nominating
contest
<https://www.uspresidentialelectionnews.com/2020-presidential-primary-schedule-calendar/>
for
this election cycle. The primaries in New Hampshire and South Carolina
along with the caucuses in Iowa and Nevada are considered key indicators of
candidates' potential going into Super Tuesday, which will fall on March 3
this year.

Working around Trump's Tuesday night State of the Union address as well as
expectations that the Republican-held Senate will soon end the impeachment
trial by acquitting the president, the 2020 candidates are slated to travel
throughout New Hampshire over the next week in hopes of wooing Democratic
voters.

Sanders intends to deliver a response to Trump's speech from Manchester
around 10:30 pm ET. The senator also has rallies, town halls, and other
campaign events planned for Manchester, Milford, Derry, Rochester, and
Keene before the state primary next Tuesday.

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