[rad-green] New Iowa Results: With 97% of Precincts Reported, Sanders Extends Popular Vote Lead Over Buttigieg to More Than 2,500

"Sid Shniad" (via rad-green Mailing List) <[email protected]> Thu, 6 Feb 2020 14:58:30 -0800
Newsgroups gmane.politics.communism.environmental
Message-ID <CACKppcysiqa4mU1+ca+W-mNCKAMcYRw_G4_9Tixd8sza+W3s1g@mail.gmail.com>
*https://www.commondreams.org/news/2020/02/06/new-iowa-results-97-precincts-reported-sanders-extends-popular-vote-lead-over
<https://www.commondreams.org/news/2020/02/06/new-iowa-results-97-precincts-reported-sanders-extends-popular-vote-lead-over>Common
Dreams          February 6, 2020New Iowa Results: With 97% of Precincts
Reported, Sanders Extends Popular Vote Lead Over Buttigieg to More Than
2,500*


*"We are on the path to victory," said Misty Rebik, Iowa state director for
the Sanders campaign.by Jake Johnson, staff writer*

*Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) with his wife Jane Sanders and family
addresses supporters during his caucus night watch party on February 3,
2020 in Des Moines, Iowa. (Photo: Alex Wong/Getty Images)*

A new batch of Iowa Democratic caucus results released in the early hours
of Thursday morning showed Sen. Bernie Sanders almost completely wiping out
Pete Buttigieg's narrow lead in state delegate equivalents while extending
his popular vote lead over the former South Bend, Indiana mayor to more than
<https://twitter.com/NicholsUprising/status/1225306787081003008> 2,500
votes.

With 97% of precincts reporting, Sanders trails Buttigieg by just three
state delegate equivalents—550 to 547—or one-tenth of a percentage point.
In the popular vote in the final alignment
<https://twitter.com/NicholsUprising/status/1225306787081003008> of the
caucus, Sanders leads Buttigieg 44,753 to 42,235.

After projecting late Wednesday that Buttigieg would "very likely" emerge
victorious from the Iowa debacle
<https://www.commondreams.org/news/2020/02/05/progressive-outrage-boils-over-utter-trainwreck-iowa-caucus-continues>,
the *New York Times* drastically changed
<https://twitter.com/singlepayertom/status/1225317698562748416> its
prediction following the latest results, giving Sanders a 54% probability
of winning the caucus hours after stating such a result was "barely
possible."

"We think the race is a toss-up with Bernie favored very narrowly," tweeted
<https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1225314230183829504> *Times* reporter
Nate Cohn.

In a campaign memo
<https://twitter.com/NColtrain/status/1225219668434149378> to supporters
Wednesday, Misty Rebik, Sanders' Iowa state director, wrote that "while the
delay to receive the official results from the Iowa Democratic Party is
deeply frustrating (trust me, I know), as of now Bernie Sanders is winning
the popular vote in Iowa and is tied in projected national pledged
delegates."

"We are on the path to victory," added Rebik.

Observers attributed Sanders' late surge to his strength in Iowa's
"satellite caucuses," which were held in locations both within and outside
the state to accommodate Iowans unable to attend the regularly scheduled
caucuses Monday night.

In the wake of the latest totals being released, the trending hashtag
#BernieWonIA <https://twitter.com/hashtag/BernieWonIA?src=hashtag_click> was
be shared widely among Sanders supporters early Thursday morning:

The fact that Bernie is winning the popular vote by over 2,500 in Iowa and
that he might also overtake Mayo Pete in delegates due to satellite
caucuses is not only an outstanding lesson in organizing, but a fucking
poetic end to a chaotic mess. 1/3
#BernieWonIA
<https://twitter.com/hashtag/BernieWonIA?src=hash&ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw>

— Diana Moreno (@thedianamoreno) February 6, 2020
<https://twitter.com/thedianamoreno/status/1225307602474672128?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw>

"This was the first year the party hosted satellite caucuses, and no other
campaign seems to have invested serious resources in turning those voters
out," *The Intercept*'s Ryan Grim reported
<https://theintercept.com/2020/02/05/bernie-sanders-iowa-satelllite-caucuses/>
late
Wednesday, positing that the satellite caucus results "could tip the
balance" to Sanders.

As *Times* reporter Lisa Lerer put it
<https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/02/04/us/elections/results-iowa-caucus.html>
in
response to the new results dropped Thursday morning: "The Sanders push to
organize these new 'satellite caucuses' is paying off. They pushed for
caucuses in mosques, heavily Latino areas, and universities."

what's happening: Sanders's campaign clearly organized satellites. (Some
were on campuses; some in mosques; one for Spanish speakers; etc.) Big
turnout there for only his team. Few other campaigns had presence there:
Buttigieg seems totally absent.

Paying major, major dividends. https://t.co/AUzMgH0RlG

— Taniel (@Taniel) February 6, 2020
<https://twitter.com/Taniel/status/1225289697603260419?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw>

In the satellite caucuses so far, Sanders has gotten 75% (IA-4), 69%
(IA-3), and 53% (IA-2). The number was lower in IA-2 because of college
areas (esp Iowa City) where Warren did very well. IA-1 is the one remaining
satellite caucus.

— Steve Kornacki (@SteveKornacki) February 6, 2020
<https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1225287616062423041?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw>

"We're winning by turning out a multi-racial working class coalition,
sending a message to the rest of the country that this is how to defeat
Donald Trump," Rebik wrote in her memo
<https://twitter.com/NColtrain/status/1225219668434149378> Wednesday.
"While many overlooked our efforts, we kept our heads down and did the hard
work of reaching out to as many new caucus-goers as possible."

"This momentum," added Rebik, "will carry us forward into New Hampshire,
Super Tuesday, and eventually, defeating Donald Trump."

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