[rad-green] What the Next 18 Months Can Look Like, if Leaders Buy Us Time -- the case for applying a suppression strategy NOW

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(Or, why a suppression strategy is needed *now.*)Medium          Mar 19,
2020Coronavirus: The Hammer and the Dance



*What the Next 18 Months Can Look Like, if Leaders Buy Us Timeby Tomas
Pueyo*
Summary of the article: Strong coronavirus measures today should only last
a few weeks, there shouldn=E2=80=99t be a big peak of infections afterwards=
, and it
can all be done for a reasonable cost to society, saving millions of lives
along the way. If we don=E2=80=99t take these measures, tens of millions wi=
ll be
infected, many will die, along with anybody else that requires intensive
care, because the healthcare system will have collapsed.

https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-the-hammer-and-the-dance-be93370=
92b56

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<div dir=3D"ltr"><div style=3D"box-sizing:inherit;color:rgba(0,0,0,0.8);fon=
t-family:medium-content-sans-serif-font,-apple-system,system-ui,&quot;Segoe=
 UI&quot;,Roboto,Oxygen,Ubuntu,Cantarell,&quot;Open Sans&quot;,&quot;Helvet=
ica Neue&quot;,sans-serif"><div id=3D"m_-7258565748077619685gmail-4ccd" sty=
le=3D"box-sizing:inherit;color:rgba(0,0,0,0.84);line-height:1.23;letter-spa=
cing:0px;font-family:medium-content-title-font,Georgia,Cambria,&quot;Times =
New Roman&quot;,Times,serif;margin-top:0.78em"><h1 style=3D"box-sizing:inhe=
rit;margin-right:0px;margin-left:0px;color:rgba(0,0,0,0.84);line-height:48p=
x"><font size=3D"4"><span class=3D"gmail_default" style=3D"letter-spacing:0=
px">(Or, why a suppression strategy is needed <i>now.</i>)</span></font></h=
1><h1 style=3D"box-sizing:inherit;margin-right:0px;margin-left:0px;color:rg=
ba(0,0,0,0.84);line-height:48px"><font size=3D"4"><span class=3D"gmail_defa=
ult" style=3D"letter-spacing:0px">Medium=C2=A0 =C2=A0 =C2=A0 =C2=A0 =C2=A0 =
</span><span style=3D"letter-spacing:0px">Mar 19</span><span class=3D"gmail=
_default" style=3D"letter-spacing:0px">, 2020</span></font></h1><h1 style=
=3D"font-size:40px;box-sizing:inherit;margin-right:0px;margin-left:0px;colo=
r:rgba(0,0,0,0.84);line-height:48px">Coronavirus: The Hammer and the Dance<=
/h1></div></div><div><div><b><font face=3D"georgia, serif"><font size=3D"4"=
>What the Next 18 Months Can Look Like, if Leaders Buy Us Time</font><br><b=
r><span class=3D"gmail_default" style=3D"font-size:large"></span><font size=
=3D"4"><span class=3D"gmail_default">by </span>Tomas Pueyo</font></font><fo=
nt size=3D"4"><br></font></b><font size=3D"4"><br><span class=3D"gmail_defa=
ult"></span><span style=3D"box-sizing:inherit;font-family:medium-content-se=
rif-font,Georgia,Cambria,&quot;Times New Roman&quot;,Times,serif;font-weigh=
t:700;color:rgba(0,0,0,0.84);letter-spacing:-0.084px">Summary of the articl=
e: Strong coronavirus measures today should only last a few weeks, there sh=
ouldn=E2=80=99t be a big peak of infections afterwards, and it can all be d=
one for a reasonable cost to society, saving millions of lives along the wa=
y. If we don=E2=80=99t take these measures, tens of millions will be infect=
ed, many will die, along with anybody else that requires intensive care, be=
cause the healthcare system will have collapsed.</span></font><div><font si=
ze=3D"4"><br></font></div><div><font size=3D"4" face=3D"georgia, serif"><a =
href=3D"https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-the-hammer-and-the-dance=
-be9337092b56" target=3D"_blank">https://medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus=
-the-hammer-and-the-dance-be9337092b56</a><br></font><br></div></div></div>=
</div>

<p></p>

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