Go PUMAS!

Most of the statistics in this short (abbreviated) commentary have been
compiled from Rasmussen Reports as of October 24th:

A lot can happen in a day or two. One major revelation can tip the scales
however they have been close for awhile now and have consistently favored
Barack Obama. Polls and elections, like the stock market, are hugely
driven by emotion, in spite of profit and loss statements and events have,
like a pebble in a pond, a rippling far-reaching effect. There is a
significant black voting block in this election which skews the results of
the polls and will not doubt have the most dramatic effect on this
election. Liberal democrats (whether party members or not) also highly
influence the results. These people are unmoving; they will not change
their views no matter how damning the news and evidence about Obama might
be.

As of today the Rasmussen daily tracking puts Obama at 52% to John
McCain's 45%. That poll is the latest and was released at 9:30 a.m.

Obama holds the lead by 3 points among white women, however as has been 
consistent in this race McCain leads among white men. Overall when the 
black vote is factored in the lead among women is up to 16 points which 
gives Obama a decided lead. There are still millions of former Hillary 
voters (and many PUMA members) who will either not vote for Obama or vote 
for McCain. Interestingly many are still undecided whether to vote for 
McCain or write in Hillary or not vote at all. I think many will realize 
they must hold their nose and vote for McCain if they are to have any 
chance of defeating McCain. This is a huge group of millions of voters who 
are among the undecided. The only indecision is whether or not to vote for 
McCain, while many of them are now committed to vote for McCain but are 
not being accurately figured into any poll. There is no special category 
for them in the Rasmussen totals. They, alone, could tip the scale.

Go PUMAS!

Hank Roth

Addendum: There is another group which has committed to McCain
            called Clintons4McCain. Check them out. Hear their
            podcast (also streaming) at Blog Talk Radio. A PUMA
            and NQR podcast and streams are also there. Search
            Google for the urls.

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