Centrist Party: Strong on Defense & Compassionate Toward the Needy

Centrist Party, Strong on Defense and Compassionate Toward the Needy

Most of the statistics in this short (abbreviated) commentary has been 
compiled from Rasmussen Reports As of October 24th: Cross-over votes 
according to Rasmussen (October 24th) is 12% of Republicans to vote for 
Obama and 10% of Democrats to vote for McCain. I think that figure for 
Democrats to vote for McCain will be larger because of PUMAS and other 
former Clinton supporters who have not been polled.  The race is 
tightening up somewhat but if McCain doesn't take the swing battleground 
states and states which Republicans have traditionally won he will lose 
this race.

As of the 24th Rasmussen reports that 36% of voters have already cast 
their ballots, including 37% of Obama supporters and 35% of McCain 
supporters. There is still that 2% differential in favor of Obama. AND we 
don't know how many of these are fraudulent voters but can guess by 
earlier reporting of fraud by ACORN and some other groups could very well 
make the difference between a McCain win and an Obama-Democrat stolen 
election.

A large proportion of black voters, 49%, say they plan to vote early. It 
is not known how many of the early voters (above) are those who cast their 
ballot for Obama. Those who are less likely to vote early are independents 
voters (not affiliated with either party).

Rasmussen says the results today "mark the 29th straight day that Obama's 
support has stayed between 50% or above 52%.  During that period, the 
number voting for McCain has stayed in the 44% to 46% range every day and 
the gap between the candidates has ranged from four to eight percentage 
points. That is not a big difference and anything can still happen. Those 
who are favoring a McCain win can still remain optimistic. Even among 
those voters who tell poll takers they have favorable opinions of the 
candidates, 57% have a favorable opinion of Barack Obama and 53% have a 
favorable opinion of McCain.

BUT it can be assumed a large percentage of the favorables for Barack are 
black just as we can assume a large percentage have favorable opinions of 
McCain. While the polls are nuanced, that fact while not emphasized is 
obvious. And what is also obvious is, an elitist liberal left, which 
includes a more educated group with more money who hold liberal to 
socialist views favor Obama and a majority of white working class favor 
McCain. More military and seniors favor McCain. This difference has held 
pretty much through out the entire election process.  Republicans are 
often accused of being right wing nuts, which they are not, because the 
Christian right votes as a block for candidates who support their values 
agenda. McCain, especially since Palin joined the ticket are favored by 
this block, which could be substantial and it does not appear their 
numbers, which is significant has been adequately accounted for by the 
polling.

Further to the right Republicans would prefer a more conservative 
candidate and that is reflected in the polls where, "Seventy-six percent 
(76%) of Democrats have a Very Favorable opinion of Obama. Just 54% of 
Republicans have a Very Favorable opinion of McCain..." Some prominent 
Republicans have already jumped ship. I heard one blogger on BlogTalkRadio 
talking about how much he "despised" McCain. With friends like that it is 
a wonder there can be any Republican win.

I'm a fallen Democrat - who has been "mugged by reality" by the betrayal 
of Democrats who railroaded Hillary Clinton who was my second choice after 
Edwards and we were all wrong about him. His behavior was a kick in the 
gut.

Then I fell in love with Hillary. Now Hillary has had to tow the party 
line and her falling in step with their "line of march" has been a huge 
disappointment. But I have become more impressed with McCain and without 
Hillary leading the way I don't think I would have even considered them. 
Now I'm glad. Even if he and Palin don't win I recognize there is a 
segment of Republican Party I could support. It would be ideal if there 
was a third way, a party for moderates, outside the influence of the 
corporations. My preference is center-right. I don't want anyone to fall 
through the cracks but there can always be needs tests for the needy and 
help for those who need a leg up but not welfare per se. Not a system 
which would promote dependence on those hand-outs. Job training and 
support for those providing jobs is always a virtuous enterprise and 
should be provided by a compassionate government. The third way would also 
have to be strong on defense. There are existential threats which the 
Democrats seem unwilling to address. A Centrist party could be strong on 
defense and compassionate to those in need. It is not too early to get 
started building that party.

Hank Roth
-- http://inyourface.info/
POINTER: TheCrypt http://inyourface.info/crypt/