Could Kirsten Gillibrand Lose in New York?

"It is certainly possible for DioGuardi to pull off the upset ... I think he can do this."  
 
Could Kirsten Gillibrand Lose in New York?
 
Real Clear Politics
By Sean Trende
 
October 4, 2010
 



"It is certainly possible for DioGuardi to pull off the upset ... I think he can do this....
 
"Gillibrand had to tack left once she was appointed to replace Hillary Rodham Clinton. And the appointment process itself was problematic. After all, it left her with the imprimatur of deeply unpopular Governor David Paterson. She's now in an awkward position - tied to an unpopular governor and without a real base to rely upon in the general election.
 
"Given the national mood, it is not impossible to see upstate returning to its Republican roots this election....
 
"DioGuardi has an Italian surname ... I can only attest that the cultural affinity is still pretty important in the Italian-American community. This will help DioGuardi in parts of Queens and in South Brooklyn.
 
"The Democrats' grip on the New York City suburbs seems to be slipping. This is a problem that Democrats are facing elsewhere in the country as well, but it seems especially pronounced here. A 12-point, 51 percent to 39 percent win here is not at all out of the question."