What's New Robert L. Park 3 Jun 2011
Robert Park <[email protected]> Sat, 4 Jun 2011 13:42:42 -0400
| Newsgroups | gmane.science.physics.whatsnew |
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WHAT=92S NEW Robert L. Park Friday, 3 Jun 2011 Washington, DC 1. WHO=92S ON FIRST? WITH APOLOGIES TO BUD ABBOT AND LOU COSTELLO. My science-reporter friend, Naif, called this week about cell phones. =20 Here's how it went. Naif: "Who said there=92s no evidence that radiation= =20 from cell phones causes brain cancer?" BP: "WHO did, but that was about = a=20 year ago." Naif: "That's what I asked, who did? The International Agenc= y=20 for Research on Cancer (IARC) says cell phone radiation =91may be=20 carcinogenic=92." BP: "IARC is WHO." Naif: "Why ask me? I don't know who= .=20 Besides, shouldn't that be =91whom=92?" BP: Last year they said that no a= dverse=20 health effects have been established for mobile phone use." Naif: "That'= s=20 still true, but who said it?" BP: "I told you; WHO said it after a $14=20 million epidemiological study of cell phone use in 13 countries." =20 Naif: "Then who is IARC?=94 BP: "Strictly speaking IARC is part of WHO."= =20 Naif: "I don't know who it=92s part of. That=91s why I asked." 2. CELL PHONES: THE CREDIBILITY OF SCIENCE IS BASED ON OPENNESS. Let's be open with the public. A Working Group of 31 scientists from 14=20 countries met at the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) i= n=20 Lyon, France from May 24=9631 to assess the potential carcinogenic hazard= s=20 from exposure to radiofrequency electromagnetic fields. The Working Grou= p=20 conducted no further study, and gathered no additional evidence. =20 Nevertheless, based on an increased risk for glioma, a usually fatal brai= n=20 cancer, they voted to classify radiofrequency electromagnetic fields=20 as, "possibly carcinogenic to humans." Let's do a little epidemiology of= =20 our own. There are 5 billion cell phones distributed among the 7 billion= =20 people on Earth. But, as the New York Times reported this morning, brain= =20 cancer rates in the US have been declining for two decades. Does this te= ll=20 us that cell phones prevent brain cancer? Alas, no. The increase in cel= l=20 phone use only started one decade ago. It tells us is that epidemiology=20 alone is a lousy guide for making policy. There is far too much "noise" i= n=20 the data. So far, only photons more energetic than visible light have be= en=20 shown to create mutant strands of DNA. "Maybe it's a multi-photon=20 process," I'm told. A two-photon process is possible, even a three-photo= n=20 process, but it would take 1 million microwave photons working in tandem = to=20 overcome the work function. So find a mechanism. But please don't infli= ct=20 more case-control epidemiology on a paranoid public. BAD DIAGNOSIS: THE HIGH COST OF IGNORANCE. Why would it be such a big deal to use earphones? No big deal. I alread= y=20 use an amplifier in each year so I can hear the birds outside my office. = =20 Let me ask why would it be such a big deal to let people know how=20 electromagnetic radiation causes cancer? Bullshit is dangerous. In 1998= =20 in London, Andrew Wakefield a British gastroenterologist, warned that the= =20 MMR vaccine causes autism. In the following months the papers daily=20 carried stories of the tragedy of autism and the heroic doctor who had=20 found the cause. In the months following, MMR vaccinations of children=20 dropped from 90% to 70%. In 2006, the first child in more than a decade=20 died of measles in London. In the first four months of 2011, the HPA=20 reported 334 cases of measles, a 10 fold increase over the same period a=20 year earlier. In France, 7000 cases have been reported this year. Autis= m=20 was unaffected. http://bobpark.physics.umd.edu/WN11/wn010711.html=20 THE UNIVERSITY OF MARYLAND. Opinions are the author's and not necessarily shared by the University of Maryland, but they should be. --- Archives of What's New can be found at http://www.bobpark.org What's New is moving to a different listserver and our subscription process has changed. To change your subscription status please visit this link: http://listserv.umd.edu/cgi-bin/wa?SUBED1=3Dbobparks-whatsnew&A=3D1