Re: The unspoken truth about wildfires
dart200 <[email protected]> Tue, 4 Aug 2026 20:10:03 -0700
| Newsgroups | alt.buddha.short.fat.guy,alt.messianic |
|---|---|
| Organization | A noiseless patient Spider |
| Message-ID | <[email protected]> |
On 8/4/26 3:51 PM, Dude wrote: > On 8/4/2026 1:51 PM, dart200 wrote: >> On 8/4/26 11:58 AM, Wilson wrote: >>> On 8/3/2026 3:34 PM, dart200 wrote: >>>> On 8/3/26 11:10 AM, Wilson wrote: >>>>> On 8/3/2026 12:05 PM, dart200 wrote: >>>>>> On 8/3/26 8:53 AM, Wilson wrote: >>>>>>> On 8/2/2026 3:30 PM, Noah Sombrero wrote: >>>>>>>> On Sun, 2 Aug 2026 15:19:59 -0400, Wilson <[email protected]> >>>>>>>> wrote: >>>>>>>>> >>>>>>>>> The point is and remains, the wildfires over most of North >>>>>>>>> America are >>>>>>>>> cyclical and overall have not increased in recent years >>>>>>>>> compared to the long term history. >>>>>>>> >>>>>>>> The point being that current trends no longer seem to be cyclical. >>>>>>>> They seem to be more and more year after year. >>>>>>> >>>>>>> You're looking at your personal experience and media reports of >>>>>>> events over the past 20 years and thinking that can't be part of >>>>>>> a greater cycle. >>>>>> >>>>>> what _is_ even the cause of the "greater cycle" ya dingus??? lol >>>>> >>>>> The underlying question is, what drives the changes in Earth's >>>>> climate? >>>>> >>>>> It's not CO2 alone. >>>> >>>> that's not answering the question wilson. some *current* and >>>> specific physical change needs to be driving the measurably >>>> increased heat in earth's systems, that isn't just an unlikely >>>> coincidence. >>>> >>>> not only does it need to be a specific physical change, it needs to >>>> align with _all_ recorded evidence from various energy fluxes that >>>> we measure, and it needs to be capable of causing a 1C _global_ >>>> change in a matter of decades, which is rather instantaneously when >>>> compared to normal geological periodic cycles >>>> >>> We all know "the consensus" says it's all about CO2 from human >>> emissions. >> >> wilson ur honestly just uneducated >> >>> >>> There are well credentialed dissidents in the scientific community >>> who say that other factors are at play and I've already provided that >>> data to you, which you've dismissed out of hand (as has the IPCC). I >>> acknowledge that these are minority views. >>> >>> They say: >>> >>> Earth's climate has fluctuated dramatically without human influence. >> >> which does not contradict humans driving change >> >>> Proxy data (ice cores, tree rings, sediments) show the Roman Warm >>> Period and the Medieval Warm Period (~900–1300 AD) were at least as >>> warm or warmer than today in many regions. >>> >> >> how would you even know that if u don't accept temperature >> reconstruction wilson??? >> >> see the fact ur just arbitrarily cherry picking when u do and do not >> believe the evidence on the matter is not a sign of proper truth >> seeking, and is rather just confirmation seeking >> >>> The current warming (~1.09°C since ~1880) is a natural recovery from >>> the Little Ice Age (~1300–1850 AD). Solar irradiance reconstructions >>> (by Soon et al., 2015 in Earth-Science Reviews) correlate ~70–90% with >> >> lol @ soon, the guy that took $1.2 million from the fossil fuel >> industry and never disclosed it on his papers >> >> and so? the fact past changes had different drivers does not negative >> the driver for this one. we know solar radiance hasn't changed and has >> rather decreased since the 50s wilson due to direct satellite data. if >> this was solar driven warming we'd need isolation increase but we don't. >> >>> temperature changes over centuries. The 20th-century warming aligns >>> with the end of the Little Ice Age. The current rate of increase is >>> high, but within paleo bounds (e.g., the Younger Dryas ended with >>> 10°C/century jumps). >> >> younger dryas was _not_ a global temperature change wilson, it was a >> shift in the heat distribution during to AMOC shifts >> >>> >>> The urban heat island effects inflate modern records. McKitrick & >>> Michaels, 2007 in Climate Research found ~50% of U.S. land warming >>> artifactual. >> >> good thing we don't rely on urban temperatures alone to measure increase >> >>> >>> US temperature records are adjusted homogenously (NOAA's "time of >>> observation bias" corrections). These adjustments applied to >>> historical records in major datasets have increased the long-term >>> warming relative to the raw data by adding ~0.3°C artificial warming >>> post-1900, roughly doubling the century-scale mean temperature trend. >>> >>> The CO2 greenhouse effect is not unlimited. CO2 absorbs infrared >>> radiation in specific bands, but these are already ~90% saturated at >> >> CO2 saturation was refuted in 50s and has is still rising >> >>> pre-industrial levels (e.g., lab spectra from HITRAN database). >>> Increasing CO2 from 280 to 560 ppm adds ~1–1.5°C direct effect with >>> no feedbacks. Satellite data (ERBE, CERES) show outgoing longwave >>> radiation is increasing with warming, indicating potential negative >>> feedbacks (cooling clouds/reflection). >> >> like duh wilson. temperature will increase until increase outgoing >> radiation balances out the heat trapping effect, that's basic >> thermodynamics. >> >> furthermore we can measure using satellite data that the energy >> imbalance is increasing ... the difference between the amount of >> incoming energy vs the outgoing energy is positive and growing >> >>> >>> There are beneficial aspects to higher CO2: It boosts plant growth >>> (greening Earth via NASA MODIS showing over 14% increase in global >>> vegetation since 1980s) which also has a negative climatic feedback. And >> >> which has leveled off because of other constraints like nutrient flows >> (that we have radically altered due to wildlife obliteration from >> human activity) >> >>> warming reduces cold-related deaths (typically 10x more than heat- >>> related, per Lancet studies) and expands habitable zones. >> >> it also increases heat related deaths and will shrink the "habitable" >> zones in other areas >> >>> >>> The IPCC forecast relies on positive water vapor/cloud feedbacks to >>> nearly triple the direct CO2 warming, but predictions for the >>> tropical troposphere (a fingerprint of AGW) are far higher than >>> actual balloon/ radar data. The model-to-observation ratio shows the >>> models predict warming roughly 1.5–2× higher than real observations. >>> In fact every model examined showed a warm bias in the tropospheric >>> layers. (McKitrick & Christy 2020, Earth and Space Science, >>> “Pervasive Warming Bias in CMIP6 Tropospheric Layers”). Other studies >>> of surface temperature or different periods/layers find that a >>> majority of CMIP models tend to warm faster than observations. >>> >>> There is no observed upward trend in hurricanes, droughts, or floods >>> when normalized for population/economics (e.g., Pielke Jr.'s data; >>> IPCC SREX report admits low confidence in human attribution for most >>> extremes). >> >> old report (2012) that was based on economic impact in the US, not >> physical measures. since then studies establishing high confidence in >> increase have been done. >> >> never mind all the things like insurance increases, govt preparation >> done around the world, sea level rise, etc, etc >> >>> >>> The "consensus" is manufactured: John Cook's study that claimed 97% >>> of scientists agreed with AGW forecasts coded the abstracts >>> ambiguously, excluding ~66% of papers. Actual endorsement of >>> catastrophic AGW is ~1– 10% among specialists (e.g., surveys by Bray >>> & von Storch). >> >> the consensus isn't that catastrophic warming has been locked in, >> consensus is that warming will stop immediately once zero emissions >> has been reached >> >>> >>> Funding biases (gov't grants favor alarm) and peer-review echo >>> chambers suppress dissent (e.g., "Climategate" emails revealed data >>> manipulation). >> >> not a single one of the more than 8 independent investigations of >> climategate came back with evidence of intentional misconduct or data >> manipulation >> >>> >>> Correlation does not equal causation; in ice cores the CO2 increase >>> lags temperature by ~800 years (potentially caused by natural >>> outgassing). >> >> yes. CO2 does not normally trigger warming changes. it usually >> functions as a feedback mechanism. that does not refute it's current >> impact or ability to drive climate change when no other trigger exists. >> >>> >>> In summary, anthropogenic climate change is overstated: natural >>> forces drive most changes, CO2's impact is smaller than stated, and >>> alarmism stems from biased models/data. >>> >> >> maybe if ur an idiot seeking confirmation bias rather than truth. >> > You snipped this out: > > Canada's 2026 wildfires were started by a mix of natural lightning > strikes, human activity, and severe seasonal drought. > > Thousands of natural lightning strikes triggered remote forest > ignitions, particularly in western Canada and Ontario. > > Campfires, equipment use, and accidental sparks and other human activity > accounted for a significant portion of the initial flare-ups. i haven't ignored it dud. i've responding several times and u just don't fucking read: not all wildfires are the same dud. those started by lightning strikes are massively more destructive than those started by humans causes, to the point where >90% of the total area burned (in canada) comes from lightning ignition. i know basic logic escapes you dud, but to be clear: we could remove _all_ direct human ignited fires, and 90% of the wildfire problem of canada would still be there unsolved > >> again wilson: none of this has answered the question of where the >> extra heat is coming from. you can throw all the climate change denier >> arguments at me endlessly, but until you explain definitely all the >> extra heat we can directly measure on our planet ... ur just seeking >> confirmation dud >> > -- why are we god? let's end war 🙃