Budget winners? Defense and Homeland Security
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Huge Deficits, Spending Freeze Dominate Bush Budget Feb 1, 5:05 pm ET By Adam Entous WASHINGTON (Reuters) - President Bush will propose a $2.4 trillion budget on Monday that will cut dozens of government programs, roll back business tax breaks and set an election-year goal of reducing a record $521 billion deficit by one-third in a year and by more than half in 2009. But even his fellow Republicans were skeptical that Bush can deliver. The fiscal 2005 budget he will send to Congress does not include the tens of billions of dollars that will almost certainly be needed in 2005 and beyond to keep U.S. troops in Iraq, nor the costly tax system overhaul that both Republicans and Democrats say will soon become politically imperative to protect the nation's middle class. Homeland security and the military -- the two most critical issues in Bush's re-election campaign -- will be the biggest budgetary winners. Defense contractors including Lockheed Martin Corp., Boeing Co., Northrop Grumman Corp., Raytheon Co. and General Dynamics Corp. stand to benefit as Bush's $401.7 billion military budget sharply increases spending on missile defense and on modernizing the Army. The biggest losers will be environmental, agricultural and energy programs. Facing the prospects of a revolt by fiscal conservatives, Bush will call for limiting growth in discretionary spending -- outside of homeland security and defense -- to just 0.5 percent. Because that is well below the rate of inflation, it will amount to a cut in domestic programs. In a tacit acknowledgment that deficits are here to stay, Bush will set the goal of cutting the shortfall in half within five years. There is no longer talk of eliminating it. His budget envisions bringing this year's record $521 billion shortfall down to $364 billion in fiscal 2005 and eventually to $237 billion in fiscal 2009. Bush has overseen a dramatic deterioration in the nation's fiscal picture since a record surplus was recorded in 2000, and his advisers hope to at least show some progress reducing the deficit -- even if only on paper -- before the November election. Members of both parties are bracing for a bitter fight over Bush's tax and spending priorities, and many question whether any agreement can be reached. Democrats scoffed at Bush's plan to stem the red ink while asking Congress to make permanent his tax cuts at a cost of nearly $2 trillion over the next 10 years. "He's promising a trillion-dollar tax cut and a trip to Mars. And he has a half-a-trillion-dollar deficit. Where do these Washington people think this money comes from? This is crazy," Democratic presidential hopeful Howard Dean said Sunday on NBC's "Meet the Press." Fiscal conservatives -- who say government spending under Bush has grown at the fastest pace since the Johnson administration of the mid-1960s -- said the White House was relying on gimmicks such as stretching the definition of homeland security to sidestep its own spending limits. Congressional aides and budget analysts say keeping troops in Iraq and Afghanistan could add $40 billion or more to the 2005 deficit. And according to the Republican appropriators who divvy up federal funds each year, even a complete freeze in the spending targeted by Bush would cut the deficit by only a "minimal" $3 billion. Some conservatives are already pushing Bush to make even deeper cutbacks after the White House acknowledged its newly enacted prescription drug plan would cost one-third more than the administration had advertised two months ago. They want Bush to back up his tough talk about budget discipline by threatening to veto costly highway and energy bills. "He's got to get really serious about budget control and really defend and enforce this budget if he's going to hold conservatives with him in the November elections," said Stephen Moore, president of the Club for Growth, a politically powerful conservative group. The White House said it would do just that. Bush will propose a 3.9 percent increase in overall discretionary spending to $818 billion in 2005. While the Pentagon would get 7 percent more and homeland security a nearly 10 percent increase, more than 60 government programs are expected to face cuts under Bush's plan. Even some business tax breaks favored by Republicans will be reined in, including a package for energy production. In a blow to a key constituency, Bush will not extend tax breaks that allow businesses to quickly write off half of the cost of investments in new equipment. Bush will also put off even modest reform of the alternative minimum tax, which threatens to envelope the middle class. Instead, the administration will propose a one-year extension of the AMT provisions, setting aside the issue -- and the budget-busting $400-billion-plus price tag -- until later. _______________________________________________ heads mailing list [email protected] http://ballistichelmet.org/mailman/listinfo/heads/ http://ballistichelmet.org/donate/