Re: Voice spectrum swapped for LTE

On 12 Feb 2013, at 10:47 PM, Joe Abley wrote:

> 
> On 2013-02-12, at 15:37, Carel van Wyk <[email protected]> wrote:
> 
>> Those with friends yes
> 
> Snarky! :-)

He can be, but that's the trouble with text - it seldom carries the nuances that voice does - you sometimes miss the tongue-in-cheek effect. ;)

Voice and SMS are giving way to IM (get as many Christmas and New Year's text's this year as last?) as IM allows for more of a (affordable) conversation than SMS does. hat said, there are some of us old farts who prefer verbal conversations to text based ones.  A survey I ran for Mxit last year revealed some interesting habits of regular Mxit users regarding the use of voice calls - the clear winner for "why did you make the call?" question was "to hear their voice".

Beware of thinking that voice traffic is shrinking quite as fast as data is growing.  You're right about voice becoming 'marginal' in many ways, but with data doubling almost year on year, it can seem that voice is what is diminishing as fast in absolute terms.

Not growing quite so fast, but far better than all the above is the cup of coffee over which much can be debated! ;> 

> 
> It was a semi-serious question.
> 
> The spam wars raged through the 90s, not expecting the outcome that by 2013 nobody under the age of 16 really sends e-mail or cares particularly about their e-mail address remaining the same. Unexpected disruption. Humans are unpredictable, especially young ones.
> 
> When I was growing up in the UK (after I had finished growing up in NZ, and before I started growing up in Canada) local calls weren't free, the idea of idly chatting to people for hours on end was absurd. In North America adults there's a noticeable cultural difference, and it's jarring when someone calls me at home for no particular reason, since their ingrained assumptions from their youth are different from mine. So maybe I'm more inclined than most people in my immediate circle to prefer almost any means of communication over a phone call. I also can't be bothered to look up growth numbers in voice vs. text vs. data in cellular markets right now. Contents may have settled in transit, etc. However:
> 
> - I doubt many markets see the same growth in voice termination as they do in text and data
> 
> - I would be surprised if the divergence is not increasing.
> 
> My expectation is that in most places the demand for voice termination is (or will soon) take a back seat to packet data and text messages, with the natural conclusion that in cellular markets, voice will become a marginal application riding on the data network that many subscribers will just not bother installing.
> 
> 
> Joe
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