Re: [Skate] The 2019 Ortygia European Championship Prediction Championship

Only small differences in the 2nd female 500 m, making for a 4-way gold by =
Brigt, Gerrit, Carool and Jos with the right winner and a fair time predict=
ion.=20

1. Brigt B=C3=B8.NOR 4
Gerrit Stevens.NED 4
Carool van Kesteren.NED 4
Jos Kloppenborg.NED 4
5. Knut Egil Gundersen.NOR 3
Nils Meland.NOR 3
Brynjar Haarberg.NOR 3
8. Ivar Hansen.NOR 0

Overall:

1. Jos Kloppenborg.NED 37 (as before)
2. Nils Meland.NOR 35 (as before)
Carool van Kesteren.NED 35 (up from 3rd)
4. Brynjar Haarberg.NOR 34 (down from 3rd)
5. Gerrit Stevens.NED 33 (as before)
6. Knut Egil Gundersen.NOR 29 (as before)
7. Brigt B=C3=B8.NOR 20 (as before)
8. Ivar Hansen.NOR 8 (as before)

No-one predicted the 1500 m winner, so mostly the time counts for the scori=
ng. Bert scores 4 points with Pedersen and an excellent time prediction and=
 Nils scores 4 with Roest (like nearly everybody else) and and excellent ti=
me prediction. The bronze is tied 6-way for good time predictions and one o=
r other of Roest and Pedersen.=20

1. Bert Steghuis.NED 4
Nils Meland.NOR 4
3. Jos Kloppenborg.NED 3
Gerrit Stevens.NED 3
Lars Finsen.NOR 3
Dick Pluim.NED 3
Kees de Vroege.NED 3
Sybe van Hijum.NED 3
9. Knut Egil Gundersen.NOR 2
Brigt B=C3=B8.NOR 2
H=C3=A5kon M=C3=B8rk.NOR 2
Harm van den Belt.NED 2
Marcel Warnaar.NED 2
Carool van Kesteren.NED 2
15. Bj=C3=B8rn Hagen.NOR 1
Brynjar Haarberg.NOR 1
Knut Anders L=C3=B8ken.NOR 1
18. Ivar Hansen.NOR 0

Outside of competition: Arild Jensen.NOR 1, total 39

Overall, Nils strengthens his lead into the last distance:

1. Nils Meland.NOR 49 (as before)
2. Jos Kloppenborg.NED 46 (as before)
3. Kees de Vroege.NED 43 (as before)
Sybe van Hijum.NED 43 (as before)
5. Carool van Kesteren.NED 42 (down from 3rd)
6. Gerrit Stevens.NED 42 (as before)
7. Knut Egil Gundersen.NOR 40 (as before)
8. Brynjar Haarberg.NOR 38 (as before)
9. H=C3=A5kon M=C3=B8rk.NOR 35 (as before)
Lars Finsen.NOR 35 (up from 10th)
11. Dick Pluim.NED 32 (as before)
12. Marcel Warnaar.NED 31 (down from 11th)
13. Harm van den Belt.NED 30 (as before)
14. Bert Steghuis.NED 28 (up from 15th)
15. Bj=C3=B8rn Hagen.NOR 27 (down from 14th)
16. Knut Anders L=C3=B8ken.NOR 25 (down from 15th)
17. Brigt B=C3=B8.NOR 21 (as before)
18. Ivar Hansen.NOR 11 (as before)

Gerrit was the only one to predict the correct winner in the 1000 m, and wi=
ns the distance in 4 points. 4 others share the silver in 3.

1. Gerrit Stevens.NED 4
2. Knut Egil Gundersen.NOR 3
Brigt B=C3=B8.NOR 3
Carool van Kesteren.NED 3
Jos Kloppenborg.NED 3
6. Nils Meland.NOR 2
7. Ivar Hansen.NOR 0
Brynjar Haarberg.NOR 0

Overall, Jos keeps his lead:

1. Jos Kloppenborg.NED 40 (1st)
2. Carool van Kesteren.NED 38 (as before)
3. Nils Meland.NOR 37 (down from 2nd)
Gerrit Stevens.NED 37 (up from 5th)
5. Brynjar Haarberg.NOR 34 (down from 4th)
6. Knut Egil Gundersen.NOR 32 (as before)
7. Brigt B=C3=B8.NOR 23 (as before)
8. Ivar Hansen.NOR 8 (as before)

But the samalog rankings could make a lot of difference. And they do for th=
ree participants who made fantastic predictions. Side by side with 33(!) po=
ints are Knut Egil with this prediction: Herzog-Katsjanova-Fatkulina-Leerda=
m-de Jong-de Neeling-B=C3=B8kko-Kuznetsova-Hirschbichler-Bonazza-Ziomek-Nif=
antava, and Gerrit with this prediction: Herzog-Katsjanova-Fatkulina-de Nee=
ling-de Jong-Leerdam-B=C3=B8kko-Kuznetsova-Bonazza-Hirschbichler-Ziomek-W=
=C3=B3jcik. These are the only two who predicted the correct podium. Well w=
orth mentioning also is Carool=E2=80=99s prediction of Herzog-Fatkulina-Kat=
sjanova-Leerdam-de Neeling-de Jong-Kuznetsova-Smit(!)-B=C3=B8kko-Bonazza-Hi=
rschbichler-Ziomek, scoring him 32 points.

1. Knut Egil Gundersen.33
Gerrit Stevens.NED 33
3. Carool van Kesteren.NED 32
4. Brynjar Haarberg.NOR 24
5. Nils Meland.NOR 23
Jos Kloppenborg.NED 23
7. Brigt B=C3=B8.NOR 18
8. Ivar Hanen.NOR 14

This means that the joint 2018 European Championship Sprint Prediction Cham=
pions are=E2=80=A6

TATA

TARA

TAREE

G O L D. Carool van Kesteren.NED 70 (up from 2nd), and

G O L D. Gerrit Stevens.NED 70 (up from 3rd)

b r o n z e. Knut Egil Gundersen.NOR 65 (up from 6th)

4. Jos Kloppenborg.NED 63 (down from 1st)
5. Nils Meland.NOR 60 (down from 3rd)
6. Brynjar Haarberg.NOR 58 (down from 5th)
7. Brigt B=C3=B8.NOR 41 (as before)
8. Ivar Hansen.NOR 22 (as before)

Then it=E2=80=99s the 10000 m. It went badly for some, particularly for tho=
se who had their confidence in Semerikov. But 6 of us predicted the right w=
inner and of them, Carool and Bj=C3=B8rn even had their predicted times wit=
hin the scoring range:

1. Carool van Kesteren.NED 4
Bj=C3=B8rn Hagen.NOR 4
3. H=C3=A5kon M=C3=B8rk.NOR 3
Jos Kloppenborg.NED 3
Marcel Warnaar.NED 3
Brynjar Haarberg.NOR 3
7. Nils Meland.NOR 2
8. Brigt B=C3=B8.NOR 1
Harm van den Belt.NED 1
Gerrit Stevens.NED 1
Kees de Vroege.NED 1
12. Knut Egil Gundersen.NOR 0
Bert Steghuis.NED 0
Ivar Hansen.NOR 0
Lars Finsen.NOR 0
Dick Pluim.NED 0
Sybe van Hijum.NED 0
Knut Anders L=C3=B8ken.NOR 0

This means that Jos sneaks up to Nils a little:

1. Nils Meland.NOR 51 (as before)
2. Jos Kloppenborg.NED 49 (as before)
3. Carool van Kesteren.NED 46 (up from 5th)
4. Kees de Vroege.NED 44 (down from 3rd)
5. Sybe van Hijum.NED 43 (down from 4th)
Gerrit Stevens.NED 43 (up from 6th)
7. Brynjar Haarberg.NOR 41 (up from 8th)
8. Knut Egil Gundersen.NOR 40 (down from 7th)
9. H=C3=A5kon M=C3=B8rk.NOR 38 (as before)
10. Lars Finsen.NOR 35 (down from 9th)
11. Marcel Warnaar.NED 34 (up from 12th)
12. Dick Pluim.NED 32 (down from 11th)
13. Harm van den Belt.NED 31 (as before)
14. Bj=C3=B8rn Hagen.NOR 31 (up from 15th)
15. Bert Steghuis.NED 28 (down from 14th)
16. Knut Anders L=C3=B8ken.NOR 25 (as before)
17. Brigt B=C3=B8.NOR 22 (as before)
18. Ivar Hansen.NOR 11 (as before)

Outside of competition: Arild Jensen.NOR 3, total 42

The samalog predictions then will decide it all. The positions 9 to 12 acco=
rding to my calculations are: 9. Silovs 76,104 10. Mikhailav 77,094 11. Mal=
y 77,655 12. Mann 77,872

The men were as usually considerably more unpredictable than the women, and=
 the top score here was only 21. There is a Norwegian 1-2-3 with two Knuts =
on top, a good old traditional skating name. The winner is Knut Anders with=
 this prediction: Pedersen-Roest-Kramer-Trofimov-Semerikov-Giovannini-de Vr=
ies-Silovs-B=C3=B8kko-Ghiotto-Henriksen-Malfatti. The silver goes to Knut E=
gil and H=C3=A5kon shares his bronze with 2 Dutchmen. Here are the samalog =
prediction points:

1. Knut Anders L=C3=B8ken.NOR 21
2. Knut Egil Gundersen.NOR 20
3. H=C3=A5kon M=C3=B8rk.NOR 19
Gerrit Stevens.NED 19
Sybe van Hijum.NED 19
6. Nils Meland.NOR 18
7. Brigt B=C3=B8.NOR 17
Bj=C3=B8rn Hagen.NOR 17
Kees de Vroege.NED 17
10. Marcel Warnaar.NED 16
Carool van Kesteren.NED 16
Brynjar Haarberg.NOR 16
13. Bert Steghuis.NED 15
Lars Finsen.NOR 15
Dick Pluim.NED 15
16. Ivar Hansen.NOR 13
17. Harm van den Belt.NED 12
18. Jos Kloppenborg.NED 10

Outside of competition: Arild Jensen.NOR 18, total 60

And as his challenger Jos fell sharply in the last event here, we can concl=
ude that the 2018 European Championship Prediction Champion is=E2=80=A6

TARUM

TARJEI

TURAN

G O L D. Nils Meland.NOR 69 (as before), an ocean ahead of...

S i l v e r. Carool van Kesteren.NED 62 (up from 3rd)

S i l v e r. Sybe van Hijum.NED 62 (up from 5th) =E2=80=93 his first medal!

S i l v e r. Gerrit Stevens.NED 62 (up from 5th) (not his first)

5. Kees de Vroege.NED 61 (down from 4th)
6. Knut Egil Gundersen.NOR 60 (up from 8th)
7. Jos Kloppenborg.NED 59 (down from 2nd)
8. Brynjar Haarberg.NOR 57 (down from 7th)
H=C3=A5kon M=C3=B8rk.NOR 57 (up from 9th)
10. Lars Finsen.NOR 50 (as before)
Marcel Warnaar.NED 50 (up from 11th)
12. Bj=C3=B8rn Hagen.NOR 48 (up from 14th)
13. Dick Pluim.NED 47 (down from 12th)
14. Knut Anders L=C3=B8ken.NOR 46 (up from 16th)
15. Harm van den Belt.NED 43 (down from 13th)
Bert Steghuis.NED 43 (as before)
17. Brigt B=C3=B8.NOR 39 (as before)
18. Ivar Hansen.NOR 24 (as before)

Winner speeches please!

All-time medal table:

Tim Wolfkamp.NED 9-5-2
Gerrit Stevens.NED 7-1-2
Nils Meland.NOR 4-5-3
Marcel Warnaar.NED 3-6-4
Bjarte Hetland.NOR 2-0-1
Kees de Vroege.NED 2-0-0
Lars Finsen.NOR 1-3-4
Jos Kloppenborg.NED 1-3-0
Arild Jensen.NOR 1-2-3
Knut Egil Gundersen.NOR 1-1-1
Carool van Kesteren.NED 1-1-1
Tore Jan Narvestad.NOR 1-1-0
Erik van Leeuwen.NED 1-1-0
Dick Pluim.NED 1-1-0
Bert Steghuis.NED 1-1-0
Adam Iwaniszyn.CAN 1-0-0
Maarten Mulder.NED 1-0-0
Tom Nieuwenstein.NED 1-0-0
Marcel 1-0-0 (Marcel Van Dieren? - the winner of worlds 2004)
Arnout Steenhoek.NED 1-0-0
Trond I Hovland.NOR 1-0-0
Nol Terwindt.NED 1-0-0
Ivo van Bommel.NED 1-0-0
Daniel 1-0-0
H=C3=A5kon M=C3=B8rk.NOR 0-2-2
Joe Gier.USA 0-1-5
Annet F Lenderink.NED 0-1-1
Rik van Kesteren.NED 0-1-1
Eric Kraan.MEX 0-1-0
Christian L.GER 0-1-0
Kees van Vugt.NED 0-1-0
Gab Raaijmakers.NED 0-1-0
J Wiertz.NED 0-1-0
TB Hansen.NOR 0-1-0
Tom van Kleef.NED 0-1-0
Vidar Stenberg.NOR 0-1-0
Sybe van Hijum.NED 0-1-0
Vincent Buskens.NED 0-0-1
Arnt Olaf Stillerud.NOR 0-0-1
Jeroen Heijmans.NED 0-0-1
Brigt B=C3=B8.NOR 0-0-1
Patrick Kersten.NED 0-0-1
Harm van den Belt.NED 0-0-1
Erick Vogelzang.NED 0-0-1

LEF

=E2=80=A6from Redal, where I=E2=80=99d like to say that if you unhappily do=
n=E2=80=99t find yourself near the top of these list, there is still anothe=
r chance in 7 weeks from now, so train diligently on your predictions until=
 then, and we=E2=80=99ll meet again...

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Posted by: Lars Finsen/Ortygia <[email protected]>
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