Re: Programming Help, Please.

On Thu, 31 Jul 2003, Michael Dyck wrote:

> Jonathan Walther wrote:
> >
> > On Thu, Jul 31, 2003 at 07:40:09PM -0700, Michael Dyck wrote:
> > >Michael Hart wrote:
> > >>
> > >> I'd like to automate my calculations that compare our progress to that
> > >> predicted by Moore's Law, in several different respects.
> > >
> > >What's your platform?
> > >What programming languages will work for you?
> >
> > Which version of Moores law?  Doubling every 18 months?
>
> That appears to be what MH has in mind (based on past newsletters).

I tend to use doubling in 18 months or  x 1.5884  in 1 year.

> Of course, Moore's law doesn't actually apply to Project Gutenberg,
> but perhaps saying so is catchier than just saying PG's collection
> doubles every 18 months.

I won't get into what Moore's Law does or doesn't apply to,
but it's just a plain fact that we've just about kept pace
with it since 12/93, and are way ahead sonce 12/90. . . .

> > What startpoint?  What endpoint?
>
> It sounds like the startpoint would be one of the 6 points that MH
> gave in his message (i.e., the startpoint might be each of them in
> turn), and the endpoint would be the current date, or a supplied date.

I would like to be able to start from when we had 10,  100,  1,000,  5,000
eBooks, and dates of 1,  1.5, 5  and 10 years previous.


Brett has worked up a wonderful program for me over the years,
that gives this kind of output, based on 66 more books in each
of the next two weeks:

  9003 Total 08/13/03 Week #32 (224/146)
    66 New This Week
    66 New Last Week
 70.62 Weekly Average
    66 New This Month
  2260 New This Year
 10.09 Average per day this year
  3726 Projected Total for this year
    45 New this week last year (08/15/02)
   166 New this month last year (Aug)
  1457 New this year last year (2002)
$ 1.11 Trillion dollar cost/book
$ 1.74 Trillion dollar cost/book last year
  5749 Etexts This Week Last Year
    32 Production Weeks this Year 21 to go.
  1838 eBooks in last 6 months (02/17/03 - 08/13/03) 26 weeks (7 - 32)
 10.38 Daily Average for the last 6 months (177 production days)
  1383 eBooks in the prior 6 months (08/22/02 - 02/12/03) 26 weeks (33 - 6)
  7.99 Daily Average for the prior 6 months (173 production days)
  4383 eBooks in the last 18 months (02/20/02 - 08/13/03) 78 weeks (7 - 32)
  3221 Twelve Month Count
  9184 Moore's law 12 month total (  3402 new books, we hit 94.68%)
  9240 Moore's law 18 month total (  4620 new books, we hit 94.87%)

***

I feel that I've rather overworked Brett in the Moore's Law department,
and the rest of the numbers are very easy for me to work with. . .hence
I am only working on Moore's Law with this.  I'm sure Brett will give you
the source code. . .which he has changed for me a dozen times, and with
which I am VERY VERY HAPPY. . .I just want to get a handle on the Moore's
Law implications for the next 10 years. . .hee hee!

Thanks!

Michael

---
Personalized unsubscribe instructions for [email protected]:
to unsubscribe send a blank email to [email protected]