Re: Programming Help, Please.

On Fri, 1 Aug 2003, Holden McGroin wrote:

> Michael Hart wrote:
> > I'd like to automate my calculations that compare our progress to that
> > predicted by Moore's Law, in several different respects.
> >
> > 1.  From 10 eBooks on December 10, 1990
> > 2.  From 100 eBooks on December 10, 1993
> > 3.  From 1000 eBooks on August 1, 1997
> > 4.  From 5000 eBooks on January 1, 2004


Sorry, that was just something I was fooling around with.

The August 1 date is approximate, will see. . . .

4.  From 5000 eBooks on April 10, 2002. . .is an exact date.

Brett and George have lists of all the exact dates. . . .

>
> http://ibiblio.org/HTMLTexts/GutPredict/
>
> At the moment, the stats only go up to the 7th of July. If anyone can
> send me the numbers from then 'til now, i'd be grateful :-) I've been
> using the weekly newsletters for the Wednesday figures for each week and
> using the daily reports from the Posted lists to get figures for the
> other days of the week. Sadly, I just moved from Windows to Linux so
> have lost my archive of GWeekly & Posted.


From Brett's list [tell him it is the one _I_ mangle from time to time,
not the one Brett and George are more careful with. . .I play with this
list from time to time, as you will see at the bottom:

WK
##   date  books

22,06/04/03, 73
23,06/11/03, 73
24,06/18/03, 79
25,06/25/03, 52
26,07/02/03, 59
27,07/09/03,217
28,07/16/03, 77
29,07/23/03, 67
30,07/30/03, 99
31,08/06/03, 66*
32,08/13/03, 66*

* are test numbers


> Hope the page does everything you want. If there's some functionality
> missing (or, shock horror, a bug!) please let me know...
>
> Cheers,
> Holden
>
> P.S. It shows that we're a LONG way AHEAD of Moore's law using
> 1990-12-10 as the base. More recent numbers show that we're a little behind.

That's usually the way the reality cookie crumbles. . .unless I can go out
there and raise some megabucks. . . .

BTW, here is how _I_ understand what this page means, from two samples:

Start Date : 1990-12-10 - 10
  End Date : 2003-7-6 - 8596
Difference : 4590 Days, 8586 Texts
    Growth : 0.147% (Daily)
             1.036% (Weekly)
             4.582% (Monthly)
             71.197% (Yearly)  <<<  We would need 58.84% for Moore's Law here
             123.999% (18 Months)  <<< and 100% here

   Start Date : [1990-12-10 - 10__]
     End Date : [2003-7-6 - 8596__]


Start Date : 1993-12-10 - 100
  End Date : 2003-7-6 - 8596
Difference : 3494 Days, 8496 Texts
    Growth : 0.128% (Daily)
             0.896% (Weekly)
             3.956% (Monthly)
             59.296% (Yearly)  Much closer to 58.84%, but still winning
             101.051% (18 Months)  and for 100%. . . .

   Start Date : [1990-12-10 - 10__]
     End Date : [2003-7-6 - 8596__]


Now, I need to play with it Moore so I can figure out how to use
the more recent dates. . . .

;-)

Thanks!!!

Michael


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